Society
Why Kerala Has Struggled to Replicate Perinjanam’s Solar Success
In Perinjanam, a small coastal village in Kerala, rooftop solar panels have transformed hundreds of households—slashing electricity bills and proving the potential of community-driven energy. Yet across Kerala, India’s most literate state, similar projects remain rare, revealing the gap between local innovation and statewide adoption. Here is how it can happen.
On a humid afternoon in Perinjanam, a coastal panchayat in Thrissur district of the South Indian state Kerala, Susheela leads me into her kitchen and points upstairs to the metal roof. The small array of solar panels there has changed the family’s daily expenses. “Before 2016, our electricity bill was over Rs 1,000 every month. After that, it rarely crosses Rs 200,” she says, folding her hands as if to show how the burden has lifted. “Installing solar panels on the roof has been undoubtedly beneficial. We’ve seen clear savings on our bills,” Susheela says.
Perinjanorjam (Perinjanam Energy), the village’s community-driven rooftop solar initiative, now powers more than a thousand households like Susheela’s and has drawn attention across India. In 2016, the panchayat embarked on what was then an audacious experiment—combining government subsidies, cooperative-bank lending, and local mobilization to make an energy self-reliant village. The results were undeniable on the ground. But the very success that made Perinjanam a poster child has not translated into a replicable model across Kerala. Nine years since its launch, and three years after high-profile endorsements and study visits, other panchayats still hesitate. Why?
The Perinjanam solar project, driven by the collective efforts of local institutions and residents, is celebrated as a model for other panchayats. For a state like Kerala, which relies heavily on electricity from outside, rooftop solar projects are crucial. By involving ordinary families, they demonstrate the strength of a decentralized approach—while also advancing India’s clean energy transition.

At COP26, India pledged 500 GW of renewable capacity by 2030. Progress has been steady, with 235.7 GW already in place, but the pace must increase. Decentralized, community-driven initiatives like Perinjanam could help bridge the gap.
What is the Perinjanam Project?
It’s an alternative electricity generation and distribution model, with participation from the public, panchayat, cooperative bank, Kerala State Electricity Board (KSEB), and Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI), carried out in Perinjanam gram panchayat, Thrissur. Perinjanam, the first panchayat in India to generate 700 kW of rural solar power for itself, is a model for local energy self-sufficiency. Daytime electricity from the solar panels is used for household needs; the surplus is supplied to KSEB’s common pool grid. At night, homes rely on KSEB power. Electricity bills reflect the difference between what is exported and what is imported. If the exported and imported electricity quantities are equal, the only charge is meter rent. The heart of Perinjanam project is a consumer committee set up for project implementation.
Launched in 2016 by then-panchayat president Sachith KK with the support of then Kerala State Electricity Regulatory Commission (KSERC) chairman TM Manoharan, Perinjanam’s solar initiative was born out of their vision, as said by then consumer committee head Noorrudheen to EdPublica. “Sachith learned about SECI’s 500 kW subsidized scheme for solar in Kerala through Manoharan. The idea to use this for local benefit was decisive,” Noorrudheen says.
Through numerous meetings and awareness campaigns, ward members reached out house-to-house to educate people about solar. Since the project started soon after a major solar scam in Kerala, skepticism lingered. The initial plan was for a 500 kW project covering 250 homes, with rooftop units typically ranging from 1 to 5 kW. For Perinjanam residents, many of whom faced financial hardships, participation in the novel project required financial support. Both the panchayat and the cooperative bank (then under CPI(M) leadership) decided after much discussion to give low-interest, collateral-free loans to participants. Noorrudheen credits this bank loan as the key factor that made the Perinjanam project a success. With Manoharan as an advisor, KSEB offered full support. Households with bills above Rs 500 were targeted first. An active, proactive panchayat president engaged the cooperative bank, registered a consumer committee as a one-stop solution for project management, and worked with SECI for subsidies. Thus, Perinjanam stands out as a unique community-driven project involving multiple stakeholders—a model found nowhere else.
According to latest estimates, Perinjanam section’s monthly generation stood at 3.16 MW, now including Kaypamangalam and Mathilakam panchayats. “There are 1008 connections under the Perinjanam section. The project covers 956 houses. The remaining are shops and other institutions. Today the project reached a capacity of 4,305 kW. The total generation is 316,823 units,” says KSEB Assistant Engineer Thara.
The project can produce enough electricity in a year to meet the needs of roughly 4,000–6,000 rural households. Perinjanam has around 5,342 households, according to the last Census report, and a typical rural home in Kerala uses about 97 units per month. That means the plant’s full annual potential—roughly 5.17–6.89 million units—could supply most, if not all, of the panchayat’s households. So far, it has generated 316,823 units, already enough for about a year’s supply to 270 homes, a figure expected to grow as the system completes more annual cycles—enough to power nearly all homes in one or two wards of Perinjanam.
Why Hasn’t Perinjanam Been Replicated?
Apart from achieving energy self-sufficiency through solar power, a 2022 report revealed that the Perinjanam Solar Initiative reduced carbon emissions by 192,000 kilograms. Inspired by Perinjanam’s outcomes, 37 panchayats in Tamil Nadu decided to implement similar projects, and in 2022, a 45-member delegation from Tamil Nadu visited Perinjanam to study the model.
Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan and Finance Minister K N Balagopal had publicly urged other panchayats to adopt the Perinjanam model. However, no other panchayat has followed suit so far. Let us look at the reasons behind this.
One major reason, as often pointed out, is that the Perinjanam Solar Project was not a flagship initiative of the panchayat itself. The panchayat acted only as a facilitator, while it was the consumer committee that took the lead in implementation. The project originated from the idea of the then panchayat president, who pushed it forward, but what truly set it apart was the proactive role of the consumer committee.
The Perinjanam model is in fact the most practical and replicable model for other panchayats. What makes it unique is the structure of its consumer committee, a 14-member registered body that oversees everything—including the maintenance of solar units and overall project management. Earlier, the panchayat president himself was part of the committee. However, with a change in the elected local body, the current panchayat committee appears less interested in the project. The consumer committee members are elected annually by the beneficiaries themselves. “It is this committee system that keeps the initiative alive,” explains Noorrudheen.

Our visit to the panchayat office confirmed this impression: informally, top officials acknowledged that the panchayat functions only as a facilitator. And the response reflects their lack of interest. “For Perinjanam’s success to spread elsewhere, what is needed most is government-level intervention,” says Sachith. He recalls that Finance Minister Balagopal even mentioned Perinjanam in his budget speech, urging local bodies to adopt such initiatives. “But that is not enough,” he argues. Each year, the government issues guidelines listing ten mandatory activities/action plans for local bodies. Unless rooftop solar—implemented with people’s investment, cooperative bank support, and government subsidies—is included in that framework, and unless it becomes part of the annual project plan, real expansion will not happen. “So far, no such directive has come. That is a big reason for the failure,” Sachith adds. “If each of Kerala’s 956 panchayats installed even one megawatt, which alone would add up to 956 MW. People are willing to invest their money; cooperative banks only need to support those who cannot afford the upfront cost. It requires far less effort and expense than building new power projects. But it must be made mandatory to install 1 MW of solar energy in every Panchayat,” he insists.
Another barrier is the lack of awareness. “People do not fully understand what green energy is, nor why shifting to it is important,” says the former panchayat president. “I installed a 4 kW rooftop solar unit at my house. I own an electric scooter and even an electric car. But very few people think about how far we can run an entire household on green energy.”
There is also the issue of local body leadership. Panchayat leaders often fail to think innovatively about the possibilities before them. “We once used CSR funds to power streetlights with rooftop solar. The panchayat, which had an electricity bill of Rs 90,000(approximately $1,015.50) , reduced it by nearly Rs 30,000 ($338.50),” recalls Sachith.
For N K Sathyanathan, who was the president of the local cooperative bank during the project’s rollout, the main barrier to replication elsewhere is lack of financial support mechanisms. “When we began Perinjanam Solar, cooperative banks technically had no provision to offer loans for rooftop solar. But with the support of the then panchayat president and Manoharan from KSEB, we devised a sub-rule to make it possible,” he explains. The bank allocated Rs 1 crore for loans, offering up to Rs 50,000 per individual with minimal collateral—family members could stand as mutual guarantors, without the need for extra security. The loans were offered at low interest and had a 36-month repayment period. Over 300 households received loans in the first phase, and almost all repaid ahead of schedule, without a single default.
Sathyanathan argues that if Kerala’s many cooperative banks adopt a similar loan framework, it could unleash a revolution in rooftop solar. He recalls even Tamil Nadu officials asking him how they managed it, and he shared their model of innovative lending. “When electricity demand rises, states often turn to nuclear or hydro projects. But rooftop solar is a viable alternative. If encouraged, Kerala would never need to depend on buying electricity from other states,” he says. “The government doesn’t lose a single rupee on this model.”
Noorrudheen adds that affordable financing is crucial to expand rooftop solar to low-income households. He also stresses that consumer committees are vital: since these are long-term projects, relying on elected panchayat bodies alone is risky, because changes in leadership after elections can disrupt continuity. Instead, projects should be run by independent consumer committees, supported by the panchayat. Ensuring the availability of technical experts even after the warranty period is another key requirement.
Premlal, convener, consumer committee, thinks that the lack of interest from agencies like KSEB is also a factor. “The Perinjanam project happened due to a confluence of many factors—the vision of the then panchayat leadership, intervention by the KSEB regulatory commission chairman, Manoharan’s initiative, and crucially, cooperative bank financing. Many residents also invested from their own pockets. Unless such elements come together, replication elsewhere will remain difficult.”
“At that time, about 500 people in Perinjanam were aware of solar. It was significant that a 1 kW system could be installed for Rs 45,500 (approximately $664–$684 USD at 2016 exchange rates),” says Sachith. The project was implemented by a 14-member solar consumer committee chaired by the panchayat president, with the panchayat serving as facilitator and eligible houses enrolled. SECI sanctioned a Rs 19,500 subsidy per kW, bringing the actual cost per kW to Rs 65,000; consumers paid only Rs 45,500. The committee handled documentation, SECI coordination, and contracting, freeing consumers from hassles. Contractors were selected through competitive quotations. GPR Power Solutions (Chennai) was contracted for implementation, and the consumer committee continues to manage maintenance. Loans to the tune of Rs 1.3 crore were taken from the cooperative bank for the project.
Lives Transformed
“Rooftop units range from 1 to 5 kW, with the initial target being 500 kW; it’s presumed now to exceed 4,000 kW. Perinjanam’s success inspired others, and the project is a global model—environmentally, too, its benefits are clear. People are very satisfied,” says consumer committee convener Premlal, a fact confirmed by the EdPublica team’s field visit.
Still, people have some anxieties about new regulations. “We installed our solar unit at launch, with Manoharan’s advice. Our bills now are just Rs 130–200. But there are rumors of rule changes, and that worries us,” says Susheela, a Perinjanam homemaker. Recently, bill amounts have increased, which she and others have brought up with the committee. She adds: “We’ve never had any problem with the solar unit. When the panel broke, it was replaced free.” Susheela’s family installed a 2 kW unit via loan; the process was smooth and the amount repaid in two years.

Image by Lakshmi Narayanan/EdPublica
Rahimabi, another resident, notes that bills initially came down to Rs 250 but are now as high as Rs 1,000 again, which concerns her. Bharathan, a Gulf returnee, has a 2 kW unit and says he’s never had a maintenance issue. He worries about a possible rule requiring battery storage for units above 3 kW and says his panel may soon need replacing. His monthly bill, once Rs 900–Rs 1,000, is now just Rs 300, but he laments the low compensation from KSEB and the risk of full supply loss in a power cut.
Prajitha and Sreekanth’s family, among the first solar homes in the panchayat, added battery storage alongside their unit because of concerns about rising bills. “Earlier, my bill was Rs 900. Now, we pay only the meter rent—Rs 140. There have been no maintenance issues so far.”
Premlal also reports quick payback and additional income for higher producers, and Sathyan master, another resident, claims he got back as much as Rs 2,000 after use. One house, for instance, produces 17 units per day, and some households that both produce and consume solar energy (prosumers) have earned up to Rs 9,000 by selling power back to KSEB. At the same time, the reality is that the project has not yet reached everyone in the panchayat. “I have never heard about such a solar initiative,” says Raphael, a mason and resident of Perinjanam. Sukanya, a homemaker from Perinjanam, adds, “I had no awareness of such a project, and when I first heard about it, it seemed like something that would cost a lot of money.”

Image by Lakshmi Narayanan/EdPublica
Why Kerala Needs Rooftop Solar
According to the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, Kerala currently ranks 13th in the country in terms of installed renewable energy capacity. Across India, nearly 80% of newly added renewable units are solar-based. Government figures show that India has overtaken Japan to become the world’s third-largest solar producer. As of July 2025, the country’s cumulative solar capacity stands at 119.92 GW—of which 19.88 GW comes from grid-connected rooftop systems and 5.09 GW from off-grid installations. Notably, Kerala does not figure among the regions identified by the Centre as high-potential zones for renewable energy.
States like Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Madhya Pradesh have tackled the solar energy challenge by setting up vast solar farms spread across thousands of hectares. Kerala, however, does not have such an option due to its limited land availability. “But there is immense potential for rooftop solar here,” says Sreekanth, an independent researcher in the field.
According to official government reports, Kerala’s installed solar capacity stands at 1,792.34 MW. Of this, the installed rooftop solar capacity is just 24.93 MW. Data released by the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) shows that the state’s total renewable energy capacity is 4,106.78 MW. This means rooftop solar contributes only 1.39% of Kerala’s total solar capacity, and just 0.61% of the overall renewable energy capacity.
Kerala has set ambitious targets: to achieve 100% renewable energy by 2040 and to become a net carbon-neutral state by 2050. The Kerala State Action Plan on Climate Change 2023–2030 (Kerala SAPCC 2.0), released by the Chief Minister, outlines several programmes and strategies designed to help the state reach these goals.
In this journey, rooftop solar projects will have a decisive role to play. Kerala now has 152,000 rooftop units (946.9 MW), a top growth record under the PM Surya Ghar programme—yet only 2 percent of its 13 million energy consumers use rooftop solar. Critics say new policies have raised fresh challenges, even as KSEB imports about 70% of its electricity from outside. Solar remains the best alternative.
Rising Challenges
Noorrudheen points out a growing concern: because of the current approach of the government and KSEB, solar power is becoming a less attractive option for ordinary people.
KSEB, however, argues that there is another side to the issue raised earlier by Bharathan. According to the utility, grid-connected solar units can impose additional costs on consumers. In Kerala, peak electricity demand occurs between 6 p.m. and 11 p.m., whereas households that both produce and consume solar energy (prosumers) use only about 36% of the power they generate. The rest is exported to the grid. But at night, they draw back about 45% of their supplied energy. On average, KSEB purchases only 19% of the solar power generated daily.
This mismatch adds financial pressure: because electricity costs rise during peak hours, KSEB estimates that the power banking arrangement could result in losses of nearly Rs 500 crore in FY 2024–25. This translates into a 19-paise increase per unit of electricity for Kerala’s 13 million consumers.
If rooftop solar systems above 3 kW are installed without battery storage, this burden is expected to rise further in coming years. KSEB projects that by 2034–35, consumers may face an additional 39 paise per unit due to this imbalance. These figures form the basis of the argument for making battery storage mandatory, though such a move poses another serious challenge for scaling up rooftop solar projects. At present, Kerala ranks fourth in India in terms of installed rooftop solar capacity, behind Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Rajasthan.
Regulatory Impacts on Rooftop Solar Adoption
The regulatory framework may further affect adoption. The Kerala State Electricity Regulatory Commission (KSERC) has proposed restricting net metering to systems under 3 kW, down sharply from the earlier 1 MW limit. Larger consumers would instead fall under net billing or gross metering, which are far less favourable.
Financial implications are significant. Under net billing, exported solar power is priced at the Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI) discovered tariff, often as low as Rs 2–2.5 per kWh, compared to the Rs 3.59 per kWh retail tariff that consumers pay when buying from the grid. This pricing difference reduces savings and extends the payback period of rooftop solar investments. Moreover, households may need to install costly battery storage systems, which are not subsidized and can cost Rs 16,000–18,000 per kWh of capacity.
Market Consequences
Impact on adoption has already become visible. Reports suggest that Kerala’s monthly rooftop solar installation rate has dropped from 15 MW to just 5–6 MW since the draft regulations were introduced. While regulators argue the changes are necessary to ensure grid stability and minimize utility losses, the burden of balancing the grid has effectively been shifted to individual consumers. This risks discouraging both new and existing users from investing in rooftop solar, potentially slowing down Kerala’s progress toward its 2040 renewable energy and 2050 carbon-neutrality goals.
Perinjanam’s New Phase
“As part of the next stage of growth, Perinjanam is set to introduce battery storage as a new model,” says Sachith. A Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) in solar refers to a sophisticated system that stores electrical energy generated from solar panels in advanced rechargeable batteries for later use. This allows energy to be captured during peak solar production, stored when the sun isn’t shining, and then discharged during times of high demand or low solar output. BESS systems improve grid stability by balancing supply and demand, provide backup power during outages, and enhance the integration of intermittent renewable energy sources like solar.
“In our model, the electricity we generate will be stored and then supplied to KSEB during peak hours. At present, we receive just Rs 2.83 per unit, but with this system it could increase to as much as seven rupees,” Sachith explains. He stresses that such storage models must be widely implemented across Kerala. The Perinjanam project is already moving forward with this plan. The first unit will have a 500-kilowatt capacity, with an investment of around Rs 1.5 crore for battery storage. Of this, 10% will be contributed by the consumer committee, while the remaining 90% will come from a mix of 50% subsidy and 40% viability gap funding. The committee has also demanded a 20% profit margin.
With the successful implementation of this initiative, Perinjanam Solar is expected to gain greater recognition and be discussed at a much larger scale…
(This story was produced with support from Internews Earth Journalism Network)
Society
EVs avoided oil equal to 70% of Iran’s exports in 2025
Electric vehicles avoided oil equal to 70% of Iran’s exports in 2025, reshaping global energy security amid Middle East tensions.
When tensions rise around Iran, the world braces for oil shocks. Markets react, governments worry, and the Strait of Hormuz once again becomes the centre of global attention.
But in 2025, something quietly shifted beneath this familiar cycle of crisis.
Electric vehicles avoided oil consumption equivalent to nearly 70% of Iran’s exports.
According to analysis by Ember, the global EV fleet reduced oil demand by 1.7 million barrels per day, approaching the 2.4 million barrels per day exported by Iran through the Strait of Hormuz.
This is not just a milestone for clean energy. It marks the beginning of a structural change in how the world responds to geopolitical risk.
The world’s oil vulnerability is still profound
Despite rapid technological progress, the global economy remains deeply exposed to oil shocks.
Nearly 79% of the world’s population lives in oil-importing countries, making them vulnerable to disruptions in supply and price volatility.
The costs are enormous. For every $10 increase in oil prices, global import bills rise by around $160 billion annually.
At the heart of this vulnerability lies the Middle East—and specifically the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow passage carries around one-fifth of global oil exports, while the wider Gulf region accounts for 29% of global oil supply.
The concentration of supply through such a fragile corridor makes the global economy acutely sensitive to regional instability.
“This is Asia’s Ukraine moment,” said Daan Walter, principal at Ember. “Oil is the Achilles’ heel of the global economy… Asia’s oil vulnerability has been exposed by the current crisis.”
Even oil producers cannot escape the shock
One of the most counterintuitive realities of today’s energy system is that producing oil domestically does not shield economies from global price spikes.
Oil is traded in global markets. When supply is disrupted, prices rise everywhere.
In Texas, one of the world’s largest oil-producing regions, gasoline prices increased by more than 25% following recent geopolitical tensions—in some cases exceeding rises seen in oil-importing countries.
This reflects a fundamental truth: oil dependency is a global vulnerability, not a local one.
The true cost of fossil fuel dependence
The financial burden of this dependency is immense.
Net importing countries spent approximately $1.7 trillion on fossil fuel imports in 2024, with many economies losing significant portions of GDP to energy imports.
For developing economies, the impact is even more severe. Rising prices can strain public finances, disrupt industries, and increase the cost of living.
The report highlights a stark dynamic: when supply tightens, wealthier countries can outbid poorer ones, effectively pushing them out of the market.
Energy insecurity, in this sense, is not just an economic issue—it is a question of global inequality.
EVs are emerging as a geopolitical force
Against this backdrop, the rise of electric vehicles is beginning to alter the equation.
The fact that EVs avoided oil demand equivalent to 70% of Iran’s exports is not just symbolic—it is strategic.
It shows that demand-side transformation can counterbalance supply-side risk.
“Electric vehicles are increasingly cost-competitive with gasoline cars,” Walter said. “Oil volatility means EVs are a common-sense choice for countries wishing to insulate themselves from future shocks.”
The economic benefits are already visible:
- China saves over $28 billion annually in avoided oil imports
- Europe saves around $8 billion
- India saves about $0.6 billion
These savings highlight a critical shift: energy security is moving from controlling supply to reducing dependence.
A broader shift: the rise of “electrotech”
Electric vehicles are only one part of a wider transformation described in the report as “electrotech”—a combination of EVs, solar, wind, batteries, and heat pumps.
Together, these technologies can electrify more than three-quarters of global energy demand and significantly reduce fossil fuel imports.
If deployed at scale, they could cut import dependence by up to 70%, fundamentally reshaping global energy systems.
Unlike fossil fuels, which require continuous imports, these technologies provide long-term stability. Once installed, they operate without fuel costs, price volatility, or geopolitical exposure.
As the report puts it, this is the difference between “renting energy” and “owning it.”
The Strait of Hormuz: from chokepoint to turning point
The current crisis highlights the strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz—but it may also accelerate its decline as a central pillar of global energy security.
Asia, which imports around 40% of its oil through the strait, is particularly exposed.
But unlike previous crises, countries now have viable alternatives.
Renewable energy costs have fallen sharply. EV adoption is accelerating across both developed and emerging markets. And electrification technologies are scaling faster than expected.
The report suggests this could become a defining moment—similar to how Europe’s response to the Ukraine crisis reshaped its energy strategy.
Peak oil may arrive sooner than expected
The implications extend beyond immediate crisis management.
The International Energy Agency had projected global oil demand would peak around 2029. But recent developments suggest that peak may arrive sooner.
Electrification is not only reducing demand—it is changing expectations about the future of energy.
The report notes that demand growth forecasts have already been revised downward, with the possibility that global oil demand could plateau—or even decline—earlier than anticipated.
Crises, historically, have accelerated structural transitions. This may be another such moment.
A structural shift beneath the headlines
Geopolitical tensions may dominate headlines, but the deeper story lies beneath.
The fossil fuel system—dependent on continuous trade through vulnerable chokepoints—is becoming increasingly fragile. At the same time, the technologies needed to replace it are becoming cheaper, faster, and more accessible.
The fact that EVs alone have already offset oil demand equivalent to most of Iran’s exports signals a profound shift.
It suggests that the balance of power in global energy is beginning to move—from regions that supply oil to technologies that reduce the need for it.
The Strait of Hormuz may remain a critical artery for now. But its grip on the global economy is loosening.
And for the first time in decades, the world has a credible path to reduce its dependence on it.
Society
Hormuz Crisis Exposes Global Fertiliser Dependency Risks
Hormuz disruption highlights risks of fertiliser dependency as experts warn of food security threats and call for agroecology shift.
Fertiliser dependency has come under sharp global scrutiny as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz highlight how geopolitical disruptions can ripple through food systems, raising concerns over food security and farm resilience.
The Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies, plays a central role in fertiliser production due to its link to fossil fuel exports. Any disruption threatens to push up fertiliser costs—directly impacting agricultural production worldwide, according to an analysis by Zero Carbon Analytics (ZCA).
How Fertiliser Dependency Shapes Global Food Systems
Experts warn that modern agriculture’s heavy reliance on fossil fuel-based fertilisers has created a fragile system vulnerable to geopolitical shocks.
“This vulnerability is a choice, and one that we all pay for,” says Raj Patel, economist and food systems expert at the University of Texas. “Nearly 90 percent of the $540 billion in annual agricultural support goes to the same chemical-intensive production that depends on them. We didn’t stumble into this dependency. We funded it.”
The reliance is deeply embedded in global subsidies and production models, making rapid transitions difficult but increasingly necessary.
Farmers Face Rising Costs Amid Hormuz Tensions
Farmers across Asia are already feeling the pressure of rising fertiliser prices as geopolitical tensions escalate.
“With fertiliser prices rising—and the planting season soon to begin—Asia’s farmers are once again being forced to choose between rising costs and falling yields,” says Shamika Mone, President of the Inter-Continental Network of Organic Farmer Organisations.
She adds that consumers are also likely to face further food price hikes, underlining the broader socio-economic impact.
A Fragile System Under Stress
The current crisis is being described as more than just a supply issue—it is a structural problem in global agriculture.
“What we are seeing is not just a fertiliser and commodity crisis, it is a stress test to a fragile food system that is not designed to be resilient,” says Belén Citoler of the World Rural Forum.
The disruption has exposed how interconnected energy markets and food systems have become, with shocks in one quickly cascading into the other.
Agroecology and Organic Farming as Alternatives
Across continents, experts and farmers are calling for a shift toward more resilient agricultural practices that reduce fertiliser dependency.
“The conflict in Iran highlights the vulnerability of an agriculture system that is overly reliant on fossil fuel fertilisers,” says Oliver Oliveros of the Agroecology Coalition.
He points to growing efforts by countries such as Brazil, Kenya, and Vietnam to support agroecological practices that use natural fertilisers and nitrogen-fixing plants.
Farmers themselves are also adapting.
“Geopolitical conflicts… show how vulnerable our agricultural system has become,” says German farmer Olivier Jung, who has been experimenting with crop diversity and reduced external inputs to build resilience.
Similarly, Brazilian farmer Thales Bevilacqua Mendonça warns that global supply chains are increasingly unstable, urging a shift toward ecological farming practices.
Policy Shift Seen as Key to Reducing Fertiliser Dependency
Experts argue that reducing fertiliser dependency will require systemic policy changes, particularly in how agricultural subsidies are allocated.
“To speed up the transition, we need to redirect billions in agriculture subsidies… and invest in approaches that safeguard farmers and consumers from energy price volatility and climate shocks,” Oliveros adds.
Organic farming advocates also stress that proven alternatives already exist.
“If we really want to take food security seriously, policymakers must support the most resilient models… organic farming must become a pillar,” says French farmer Olivier Chaloche.
A Turning Point for Global Food Security?
The Strait of Hormuz disruption may prove to be a wake-up call for governments worldwide.
As fertiliser dependency becomes increasingly tied to geopolitical instability, the push toward agroecology, organic farming, and resilient food systems is gaining urgency.
The question now is whether policymakers will act fast enough to transform a system many experts say is no longer sustainable.
Society
South Asia’s $107 Billion LNG Expansion Faces Risk Amid Middle East War: Report
A new report warns South Asia’s LNG infrastructure expansion could face economic and energy risks as Middle East tensions disrupt global gas markets.
South Asia’s ambitious expansion of liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure could expose the region to significant economic and energy security risks as geopolitical tensions disrupt global energy markets, according to a new report by Global Energy Monitor.
The report warns that escalating conflict in the Middle East, particularly attacks on Iran and disruptions to shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz, could sharply affect LNG prices and supply chains, putting pressure on energy-importing economies such as India, Bangladesh, and Pakistan.
Data from the Asia Gas Tracker, compiled by Global Energy Monitor, shows that the three South Asian countries have about $107 billion worth of LNG terminals and gas pipelines either announced or currently under construction.
Together, these projects represent a major share of global gas infrastructure expansion. Southern Asia accounts for 17% of global LNG import capacity under development—about 110.7 million tonnes per year—and 17% of global gas pipelines by length, totalling 34,146 kilometres, according to the report.
India’s expanding gas infrastructure
India is pursuing one of the largest gas infrastructure expansions in the world. The report notes that the country is developing the second-largest LNG terminal expansion globally and the third-largest gas pipeline buildout.
A chart in the report indicates that India ranks among the top countries worldwide for pipeline construction, with nearly three-quarters of its planned gas pipeline network already under construction.
Meanwhile, Bangladesh and Pakistan each have enough LNG import capacity in development to roughly double their existing capacity, highlighting the scale of the region’s dependence on imported gas.
Price volatility and project risks
Despite projections that global LNG supply could increase later in the decade, the report warns that the market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical disruptions. Even relatively balanced markets can experience price spikes if shipping routes or production are affected.
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East demonstrates how quickly a promising growth market can shift into an affordability crisis, potentially delaying or cancelling major infrastructure projects.
“We’ve seen this story before, and South Asian economies that import LNG will struggle with these price shocks. It’s a reminder of the risks of building new gas infrastructure, and that domestic alternatives like renewable power are more affordable and reliable in the long run..” said Robert Rozansky, global LNG analyst for Global Energy Monitor.
History of cancelled LNG projects
The report also highlights a pattern of stalled or cancelled gas infrastructure projects across the region.
Over the past decade, India, Bangladesh, and Pakistan have shelved or cancelled two to three times more LNG import capacity than they have successfully brought online, reflecting the financial and market risks associated with LNG development.
According to the report, India cancelled or shelved 49 million tonnes per annum of LNG capacity, compared with 23 million tonnes that entered operation between 2016 and 2025. Bangladesh and Pakistan show similar trends.
Renewables gaining ground
At the same time, renewable energy is increasingly competing with natural gas in the region’s power sectors.
Solar generation in Pakistan has more than tripled over the past three years, while India is projected to meet over 40% of its electricity demand with renewable energy by 2030.
The report also notes that improvements in energy storage technologies are enhancing grid flexibility, potentially reducing the role of gas as a backup power source.
Emerging alternatives such as green hydrogen could also help reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels for industrial use in the future.
The Asia Gas Tracker, developed by Global Energy Monitor, is an online database that maps and categorises gas infrastructure across the continent, including pipelines, LNG terminals, gas-fired power plants, and gas fields. The tracker is updated annually and documents projects through detailed data pages.
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