Sustainable Energy
Can ammonia power a low-carbon future? New MIT study maps global costs and emissions
Under what conditions can ammonia truly become a low-carbon energy solution? MIT researchers attempt to resolve this
Ammonia, long known as the backbone of global fertiliser production, is increasingly being examined as a potential pillar of the clean energy transition. Energy-dense, carbon-free at the point of use, and already traded globally at scale, ammonia is emerging as a candidate fuel and a carrier of hydrogen. But its climate promise comes with a contradiction: today’s dominant method of producing ammonia carries a heavy carbon footprint.
A new study by researchers from the MIT Energy Initiative (MITEI) attempts to resolve this tension by answering a foundational question for policymakers and industry alike: under what conditions can ammonia truly become a low-carbon energy solution?
A global view of ammonia’s future
In a paper published in Energy and Environmental Science, the researchers present the largest harmonised dataset to date on the economic and environmental impacts of global ammonia supply chains. The analysis spans 63 countries and evaluates multiple production pathways, trade routes, and energy inputs, offering a comprehensive view of how ammonia could be produced, shipped, and used in a decarbonising world.
“This is the most comprehensive work on the global ammonia landscape,” says senior author Guiyan Zang, a research scientist at MITEI. “We developed many of these frameworks at MIT to be able to make better cost-benefit analyses. Hydrogen and ammonia are the only two types of fuel with no carbon at scale. If we want to use fuel to generate power and heat, but not release carbon, hydrogen and ammonia are the only options, and ammonia is easier to transport and lower-cost.”
Why data matters
Until now, assessments of ammonia’s climate potential have been fragmented. Individual studies often focused on single regions, isolated technologies, or only cost or emissions, making global comparisons difficult.
“Before this, there were no harmonized datasets quantifying the impacts of this transition,” says lead author Woojae Shin, a postdoctoral researcher at MITEI. “Everyone is talking about ammonia as a super important hydrogen carrier in the future, and also ammonia can be directly used in power generation or fertilizer and other industrial uses. But we needed this dataset. It’s filling a major knowledge gap.”
To build the database, the team synthesised results from dozens of prior studies and applied common frameworks to calculate full lifecycle emissions and costs. These calculations included feedstock extraction, production, storage, shipping, and import processing, alongside country-specific factors such as electricity prices, natural gas costs, financing conditions, and energy mix.
Comparing production pathways
Today, most ammonia is produced using the Haber–Bosch process powered by fossil fuels, commonly referred to as “grey ammonia.” In 2020, this process accounted for about 1.8 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions. While economically attractive, it is also the most carbon-intensive option.
The study finds that conventional grey ammonia produced via steam methane reforming (SMR) remains the cheapest option in the U.S. context, at around 48 cents per kilogram. However, it also carries the highest emissions, at 2.46 kilograms of CO₂ equivalent per kilogram of ammonia.
Cleaner alternatives offer substantial emissions reductions at higher cost. Pairing SMR with carbon capture and storage cuts emissions by about 61 percent, with a 29 percent cost increase. A full global shift to ammonia produced with conventional methods plus carbon capture could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by nearly 71 percent, while raising costs by 23.2 percent.
More advanced “blue ammonia” pathways, such as auto-thermal reforming (ATR) with carbon capture, deliver deeper emissions cuts at relatively modest cost increases. One ATR configuration achieved emissions of 0.75 kilograms of CO₂ equivalent per kilogram of ammonia, at roughly 10 percent higher cost than conventional SMR.
At the far end of the spectrum, “green ammonia” produced using renewable electricity can reduce emissions by as much as 99.7 percent, but at a significantly higher cost—around 46 percent more than today’s baseline. Ammonia produced using nuclear electricity showed near-zero emissions in the analysis.
Geography matters
The study also reveals that the viability of low-carbon ammonia depends heavily on geography. Countries with abundant, low-cost natural gas are better positioned to produce blue ammonia competitively, while regions with cheap renewable electricity are more favourable for green ammonia.
China emerged as a potential future supplier of green ammonia to multiple regions, while parts of the Middle East showed strong competitiveness in low-carbon ammonia production. In contrast, ammonia produced using carbon-intensive grid electricity was often both more expensive and more polluting than conventional methods.
From research to policy
Interest in low-carbon ammonia is no longer theoretical. Countries such as Japan and South Korea have incorporated ammonia into national energy strategies, including pilot projects using ammonia for power generation and financial incentives tied to verified emissions reductions.
“Ammonia researchers, producers, as well as government officials require this data to understand the impact of different technologies and global supply corridors,” Shin says.
Zang adds that the dataset is designed not just as an academic exercise, but as a decision-making tool. “We collaborate with companies, and they need to know the full costs and lifecycle emissions associated with different options. Governments can also use this to compare options and set future policies. Any country producing ammonia needs to know which countries they can deliver to economically.”
As global demand for low-carbon fuels accelerates toward mid-century, the study suggests that ammonia’s role will depend less on ambition alone, and more on informed choices—grounded in data—about how and where it is produced.
Sustainable Energy
India’s Power Grid Gets Greener: Green Energy Break a New Record
India’s solar and wind energy crossed the 100 GW mark for the first time, supplying nearly half of the country’s electricity at one point. The milestone highlights the growing role of renewables in meeting India’s rising power demand—and the storage challenges that could shape the next phase of the energy transition.
As India grappled with another summer of soaring electricity demand, the country’s power grid quietly reached a milestone. For the first time, solar and wind together generated more than 100 gigawatts (GW) of electricity, supplying nearly half of the country’s power at one point.
According to Grid Controller of India Ltd. (GRID-INDIA), utility-scale solar and wind generation reached 103.7 GW at 12.05 pm on July 13, the highest recorded so far. A few minutes later, the two sources supplied 42.79% of the electricity flowing through the national grid. The following day, generation crossed the 100 GW mark again, showing that the achievement was not a one-off event.
The record comes at a time when rainfall has been lower than usual. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the southwest monsoon is expected to bring about 90% of the country’s normal rainfall this year. With lower inflows into reservoirs, hydropower generation can come under pressure, making solar and wind even more important in meeting electricity demand.
The achievement signals a broader shift. Renewable energy is no longer just expanding on paper through new projects—it is increasingly helping power homes, businesses and industries during periods of high demand.
Solar and Wind Energy: India’s Growing Demand for Electricity
India’s appetite for electricity continues to grow.
According to Power Minister Manohar Lal, the country’s peak electricity demand has already reached about 271 GW this year. The government expects it to touch around 300 GW by 2027, driven by rising use of air conditioners, electric vehicles, data centres and industrial activity.
Meeting that demand has traditionally meant relying on coal-fired power plants. This year, however, solar and wind energy has played a larger role. According to GRID-INDIA, solar generation reached a record 81 GW during the April heatwave, helping ease pressure on conventional power plants during the middle of the day.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects India to remain one of the world’s fastest-growing renewable energy markets through the rest of the decade. But it also warns that investment in electricity grids and storage must grow alongside renewable energy.

The Challenge Begins After Sunset
The July record was achieved around noon, when solar panels generate their highest output. Electricity demand, however, often remains high long after sunset.
That is why many experts say the next phase of India’s clean energy transition will depend less on building more solar parks and more on storing the electricity they generate.
“The achievement shows the national grid can absorb much larger volumes of renewable electricity than before. The next priority is expanding energy storage so surplus solar power generated during the day can be supplied after sunset,” said Shreya Jai, Energy Lead at Climate Trends.
Solar Energy and Storage Challenges
Research points in the same direction. A recent study by researchers from the University of California, Berkeley, the India Energy and Climate Center and partner institutions found that expanding battery storage and making the grid more flexible would allow India to integrate much larger shares of solar and wind while maintaining a reliable electricity supply.
Disha Aggarwal, Fellow at the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW), said the milestone shows renewable energy is becoming a larger part of the country’s actual electricity supply, rather than just its installed capacity. She said the next priority should be scaling up energy storage, strengthening reserve capacity and creating electricity markets that can better support evening demand.
Storing renewable energy, however, remains one of India’s biggest challenges. Battery systems are still expensive, while pumped hydro projects require suitable terrain, long construction periods and multiple regulatory clearances. Expanding transmission networks to carry renewable power from generation centres to demand hubs is another hurdle.
Crossing the 100 GW mark shows that India can generate renewable electricity at an unprecedented scale. The bigger challenge now is ensuring that clean power generated during the day can be stored and delivered when homes, hospitals and industries need it most.
Sustainable Energy
Could This Molecular Sponge Change Nuclear Wastewater Forever?
Tritium has long resisted conventional wastewater treatment because it behaves almost exactly like ordinary water. Researchers now say a “molecular sponge” may finally make separating the radioactive isotope faster and more efficient.
For decades, tritium has remained the one radioactive contaminant that nuclear engineers could not efficiently remove from wastewater. Unlike other radioactive elements, tritium becomes part of the water molecule itself, making it nearly impossible to separate using conventional treatment methods. Instead, facilities have relied on energy-intensive distillation or, in some cases, the controlled dilution and release of treated water that still contains tritium within regulatory safety limits.
Now, researchers in China report a possible solution. In a study published in Environmental Science & Technology, they developed a metal-organic framework (MOF)-coated material that significantly improves tritium separation during distillation. This study builds on work that won the Nobel Prize in Chemistry last year. If the technology performs similarly outside the laboratory, it could make treating radioactive wastewater far more efficient.

The problem Hidden Inside a Water Molecule
Most radioactive contaminants can be removed using filters or chemical treatment. Tritium is different because it replaces one of the hydrogen atoms in the water molecule itself. That means the contaminated water looks and behaves almost exactly like clean water.
For decades, the only practical way to separate the two has been distillation. Since tritiated water boils at a slightly different temperature, the process eventually works. But the difference is so tiny that it requires enormous distillation towers and a great deal of energy.
The difficulty came into public focus in 2023 when Japan began releasing treated wastewater from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant into the Pacific Ocean. Although most radioactive substances had been removed, tritium remained because no practical technology existed to separate it at such a large scale. Instead, the water was diluted before being released under international safety standards.
A Sponge at the Molecular Level
Inside every distillation tower are materials called packings, which create surfaces where water vapour and liquid interact. Traditionally, these packings simply help the process along. The researchers turned them into active participants.
They coated a stainless-steel mesh with a metal-organic framework (MOF) called NH₂-MIL-101(Cr). MOFs are often described as molecular sponges because they contain countless microscopic pores packed into a tiny space. But this sponge does more than hold water. Its chemical structure encourages tritium atoms to exchange places with ordinary hydrogen atoms, making them easier to separate during distillation.
In laboratory tests, the material achieved a separation efficiency of 42.5 theoretical plates per metre, the highest reported for this type of distillation system. The team estimates that a 10-metre distillation column fitted with the new material could outperform the best previously reported packing by 134 times. Compared with the commercial packing materials used today, its overall separation performance could be up to one million times greater under similar industrial conditions.
Those figures still need to be validated outside the laboratory, but they suggest that future treatment systems may no longer need the massive, energy-hungry towers used today.
Sustainable Energy
India Becomes World’s Fourth-Largest LNG Import Hub as Gas Infrastructure Grows
India has become the world’s fourth-largest market for liquefied natural gas (LNG) regasification capacity after expanding its import infrastructure in 2025, according to the International Gas Union’s (IGU) World LNG Report 2026.
The report says India’s total LNG regasification capacity reached 52.5 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) by the end of 2025, after adding 7.1 mtpa during the year. The increase helped India overtake Spain in global rankings.
The additional capacity came from two projects: the 5 mtpa Chhara LNG terminal in Gujarat and the completion of a breakwater at the Dabhol LNG terminal in Maharashtra, which added 2.1 mtpa by allowing the terminal to operate throughout the year.
LNG is natural gas that is cooled into a liquid so it can be transported by ship. Once it reaches India, it is converted back into gas at regasification terminals and supplied to industries, fertiliser plants, refineries and city gas networks.
Supporting India’s growing energy needs
India’s demand for energy is rising as industries expand and cities grow. Since domestic natural gas production is not enough to meet demand, the country imports a large share of its gas as LNG.
More regasification capacity means India can import larger volumes of LNG from different countries, improving energy security and reducing the risk of supply disruptions. It also gives industries access to a more reliable fuel supply.
The IGU report notes that global LNG trade reached a record 436.98 million tonnes in 2025, with Asia remaining the largest market for LNG.
India has also been working towards increasing the share of natural gas in its energy mix from around 6% to 15%. The government sees natural gas as a fuel that can help reduce dependence on coal while supporting sectors where cleaner alternatives are still developing.
A transition fuel with challenges
Although natural gas burns cleaner than coal, it is still a fossil fuel. Many experts describe it as a transition fuel because it can help lower emissions in the short term while renewable energy continues to expand.
However, natural gas also has environmental concerns. Methane, the main component of natural gas, is a powerful greenhouse gas, and leaks during production and transport can reduce its climate benefits.
India is therefore following a dual approach: expanding gas infrastructure to meet current energy needs while continuing to invest in solar, wind, green hydrogen and battery storage to achieve its long-term climate goals.
The IGU report shows that India’s latest investments are aimed at balancing energy security, economic growth and the transition to cleaner energy, even as the country continues to expand its renewable energy capacity.
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