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Societal Institutions have critical role in determining prosperity: Economics Nobel winners

Understanding Prosperity: Insights from Nobel Laureates Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson

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Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson. Image credit: Niklas Elmehed © Nobel Prize Outreach

This year’s Nobel laureates in economic sciences—Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James Robinson—have shed light on the critical role that societal institutions play in determining a nation’s prosperity. Their research highlights that countries with weak rule of law and exploitative institutions often fail to achieve economic growth or positive change.

The legacy of European colonization serves as a key context for their findings. As colonizers expanded into various regions, the institutions established in these societies were altered significantly, though the extent and nature of these changes varied widely. In some areas, the primary goal was to exploit indigenous populations and extract resources for the benefit of the colonizers. In contrast, other regions saw the establishment of inclusive political and economic systems designed to benefit European settlers over the long term.

The laureates argue that one of the fundamental explanations for disparities in prosperity between nations lies in the types of societal institutions that were implemented during colonization. Often, inclusive institutions were introduced in poorer countries at the time of colonization, leading to the development of generally prosperous populations over time. This historical context offers critical insights into why some former colonies that were rich in resources have become impoverished, while others that began with little have thrived.

However, many nations find themselves trapped in a cycle of extractive institutions and low economic growth. Although the introduction of inclusive institutions could yield long-term benefits for the broader population, those in power are often incentivized to maintain the status quo, which provides them with short-term gains. As long as the political system ensures their control, public trust in promises of economic reform remains elusive. According to the laureates, this lack of trust is a primary reason for the stagnation observed in many societies.

Interestingly, the inability to credibly promise positive change can also explain why democratization occurs in some contexts. When faced with the threat of revolution, political leaders confront a dilemma: they may prefer to cling to power while attempting to appease the masses with promises of reform. Yet, the populace remains skeptical, fearing a return to old practices once the immediate threat subsides. In such scenarios, the only viable path forward may involve transferring power and establishing a democratic system.

“Reducing the vast differences in income between countries is one of our time’s greatest challenges,” remarks Jakob Svensson, Chair of the Committee for the Prize in Economic Sciences. The work of Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson underscores the importance of societal institutions in addressing these disparities and fostering equitable economic growth across nations.

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Sustainable Energy

The $76/MWh Breakthrough: Battery-Backed Solar Becomes the Cheapest Firm Power

The battery price collapse that just made solar a 24/7 power source. Utility-scale battery storage is now cheap enough to make dispatchable solar power economically viable in markets outside China and the US.

Dipin Damodharan

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Batteries now cheap enough to deliver solar when it is needed
Bird's Eye View of Solar Panel Roof at Sukaresmi, Jawa Barat, Indonesia/Image credit: Tom Fisk/Pexels

For years, clean-energy advocates spoke about a coming inflection point — a moment when renewable energy would stop being intermittent and start behaving like the dependable backbone of a modern grid. Has that moment quietly arrived? And it didn’t come from a single breakthrough technology, but from something more subtle and powerful: a sudden, cascading collapse in the cost of utility-scale battery storage.

In just two years, the economics of clean electricity have undergone one of the most dramatic shifts since the birth of the solar industry itself. Battery storage systems — long considered the missing link in renewable-dominant grids — have become so inexpensive that they now make solar energy dispatchable, not just abundant.

Utility-scale battery storage has crossed a decisive economic threshold in 2025. Fresh data from energy think tank Ember shows that the cost of turning abundant daytime solar power into on-demand, anytime electricity has fallen to $65/MWh, making stored solar competitive with fossil-fuel-based power in many markets.

Chart 4 It costs just 33 MWh to transform daytime solar into dispatchable solar@2x
Credit: Ember

The shift is not hypothetical. It is real, measurable, and unfolding at extraordinary speed. Across India, Italy, Saudi Arabia, and beyond, a pattern is emerging: utility-scale battery projects clearing auctions at around US$120–125/kWh, with core equipment priced near US$75/kWh, and installation, grid integration, and civil-works accounting for the remainder.

Kostantsa Rangelova, Global Electricity Analyst at Ember, points out the scale of the transformation with unusual bluntness: “After a 40% fall in 2024 in battery equipment costs, it’s clear we’re on track for another major fall in 2025. The economics for batteries are unrecognisable, and the industry is only just getting to grips with this new paradigm.”

The Silent Revolution Inside a Battery

The collapse in cost is only part of the story — the other half is technological maturity. Modern utility-scale batteries now offer:

  • 20-year lifetimes
  • 10,000–12,000 cycles
  • Round-trip efficiency above 90%

This is not incremental improvement. It is structural change.

For decades, the energy world assumed batteries were too fragile, too short-lived, too expensive for grid infrastructure. In 2025, they are emerging as among the most reliable long-duration assets in the power sector — often outliving the fossil-fuel plants they are replacing.

And just beneath the lithium boom lies something even more consequential: the arrival of sodium-ion batteries, which skip the need for lithium, nickel, or cobalt — promising prices once considered impossible.

When Cheap Batteries Meet Cheap Solar

The most important number in all the new data is not the capex, or cycle life, or equipment pricing. It is this:

US$76 per megawatt-hour.

That is the cost of delivering solar electricity whenever it is needed, day or night — if half of solar output is stored in batteries at US$65/MWh and the rest supplied directly during the day. In other words: solar + storage has become a dispatchable baseload resource.

For countries with rising electricity demand, this is seismic.

Rangelova puts it simply: “Solar is no longer just cheap daytime electricity, now it’s anytime dispatchable electricity. This is a game-changer for countries with fast-growing demand and strong solar resources.”

Gas markets — especially those reliant on imported LNG — cannot compete with $76/MWh firm clean power without subsidies or regulatory advantage. Coal plants — once symbols of energy security — now struggle to match either the cost or flexibility of storage-backed solar.

Chart 2 Battery cost fell by an average of 20 @2x
Credit: Ember

A Lesson from Kerala: Cheap Solar Isn’t Enough Without Storage

Even in regions with abundant solar potential and strong rooftop adoption, intermittency remains a barrier. Take the example of Kerala’s celebrated Perinjanam Energy Project, which electrified hundreds of households through community-driven rooftop solar and inspired nationwide interest.

Despite the early promise, the project — like many others across the state — struggled to scale. Limited land, regulatory uncertainty, low uptake of storage solutions, and weak incentive frameworks meant that daytime solar generation rarely translated into reliable electricity at night. The result: solar remained supplemental, not transformative.

This Kerala story captures a broader truth: solar panels alone don’t solve energy access and reliability problems. Without cost-effective storage, solar output — no matter how abundant — remains tied to the sun. The battery price collapse of 2025 changes that equation entirely, paving the way for renewable energy systems that are not just clean, but dependable.

What Happens Next

The global power system is entering an era in which:

  • Solar is the world’s cheapest electricity.
  • Batteries are the world’s cheapest way to deliver that electricity when it’s needed.
  • And the combination is now cheaper than building most new fossil-fuel plants.

The implications are enormous. Fossil-fuel peakers — long viewed as indispensable for evening demand peaks — are likely to be replaced by four-hour battery systems. Energy planners are questioning whether large gas or coal plants still make sense. Countries with surging power demand are increasingly designing energy systems around solar + storage from the outset.

Cheap batteries, in short, have not just made solar better. They have made solar inevitable.

And as Ember’s analysts conclude in their report: “Cheap batteries do not just complement solar — they unlock its full potential.”

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COP30

From 6% to 16%: The Philippines Shows the World How Fast Climate Budgets Can Shift

In just four years, the Philippines has expanded its climate spending from PHP 282 billion to over PHP 1 trillion — one of the fastest fiscal shifts anywhere in the world.

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Flooded Street with Jeepney in Malabon, Philippines. Image credit: Tear Cordez/Pexels

Governments across the world are beginning to rethink the way national budgets are designed, moving away from traditional fiscal planning and toward systems that integrate climate considerations directly into spending decisions. A new comparative review of global green-budgeting practices reveals a trend that is gathering momentum: more countries are using their budgets as climate-governance tools. But the pace of progress varies sharply between advanced economies and emerging markets.

The Rise of Climate-Conscious Budgets

Countries such as France, Ireland, Mexico and the Philippines provide some of the clearest examples of how climate priorities are reshaping national expenditure. France has increased its identified climate-positive budget from €38.1 billion in 2021 to €42.6 billion in 2025, while Ireland expanded its environmental allocations from €2 billion (2020) to €7 billion (2025). Mexico’s transformation has been even more rapid: climate-related expenditures rose from MXN 70 billion (2021) to MXN 466 billion (2025) — a six-fold increase.

A Sudden Surge in the Philippines

Nowhere is the shift more dramatic than the Philippines. After embedding climate budget tagging across its ministries, the country’s climate budget expanded from PHP 282 billion in 2021 to more than PHP 1 trillion in 2025, raising its share of the national budget from 6% to 16%. The reform forced ministries to assess thousands of programmes through a climate lens, resulting in a shift toward resilient infrastructure, sustainable energy, water security, and climate-smart industries.

Advanced Economies Move Beyond Tagging

While emerging economies are scaling up climate allocations, advanced economies are integrating climate metrics deeper into fiscal systems. Canada’s “climate lens” requires greenhouse-gas and resilience assessments for major infrastructure projects before funding is approved. Norway links its annual budget to its Climate Change Act and long-term low-emission strategies. Germany uses sustainability indicators to guide fiscal decisions, embedding climate considerations into macroeconomic planning.

These tools go beyond transparency. They force ministries to justify public spending not only in economic terms, but in climate terms — shifting budgets from accounting documents to steering instruments.

Despite this momentum, the analysis notes a persistent gap: many countries stop at tagging climate-related expenditures without linking them to outcomes or performance indicators. Tagging improves transparency, but on its own does not change investment decisions. Without climate-based appraisal and monitoring, high-emission infrastructure can still slip through national budgets unchallenged.

The Financing Challenge

For lower-income countries, the largest barriers are financial. High capital costs, limited fiscal room, and weaker public financial management systems restrict the scale of green budgeting reforms. Even when climate spending rises, sustaining these increases requires integrating climate metrics into medium-term fiscal frameworks — something only a handful of emerging economies have attempted.

Innovations Show What’s Possible

Some models offer a blueprint. Indonesia’s climate-tagging system feeds directly into its sovereign green sukuk framework, giving investors clear visibility over the use of proceeds. This loop — tagging, reporting, financing — demonstrates how governments can leverage green budgeting to unlock larger pools of private capital.

Still in Progress

The report concludes that the next frontier for green budgeting is integration: linking budget tagging, climate-lens project appraisal, performance-based reporting, and climate-aligned fiscal strategies. Done together, these tools allow budgets to become climate-governance instruments capable of guiding national transitions.

But the pace remains uneven. Some countries are racing ahead, while others are taking incremental steps. What is clear, however, is that climate-aligned public finance is no longer optional. As climate impacts intensify, the alignment of the world’s budgets will determine who adapts — and who is left behind.

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COP30

Corporate Capture: Fossil Fuel Lobbyists at COP30 Hit Record High, Outnumbering Delegates from Climate-Vulnerable Nations

COP30 sees over 1,600 fossil fuel lobbyists inside climate talks, surpassing delegations of climate-vulnerable nations. Experts warn of corporate capture.

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COP30 was billed as the “Implementation COP,” a summit where governments would finally convert years of climate promises into concrete action. Instead, the year’s most striking headline comes from the corridors, not the negotiation rooms: more than 1,600 fossil fuel lobbyists have entered the talks — the highest in the history of the UN climate process.

A new analysis by the Kick Big Polluters Out (KBPO) coalition reveals that one in every 25 participants in Belém is linked to the oil, gas, or coal industry. The number surpasses the total delegations of many climate-vulnerable nations and even outnumbers the combined negotiating teams of the 10 most climate-impacted countries.

For many observers, the surge represents not just a statistic but a symptom of a deeper structural crisis.

“It’s common sense that you cannot solve a problem by giving power to those who caused it,” said Jax Bonbon of IBON International in a statement. “Yet three decades and 30 COPs later, more than 1,500 fossil fuel lobbyists are roaming the climate talks as if they belong here.”

A Climate Summit Outnumbered by Industry

The analysis shows 599 industry-linked representatives entered COP30 through Party overflow badges — a route typically reserved for government delegates. This method bypasses new transparency rules that require non-government participants to disclose their affiliations.

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Illustration: S James/EdPublica

Several countries also included fossil fuel representatives directly within their official delegations. According to the report, France, Japan, and Norway brought senior industry figures, including those from TotalEnergies, Japan Petroleum Exploration, and Equinor.

“Until we Kick Big Polluters Out, we can expect the outcomes of COP30 — and every COP after — to be written by the world’s largest polluters,” said Pascoe Sabido of Corporate Europe Observatory. “It’s profit over people and the planet.”

The contrast between industry presence and the representation of climate-impacted nations is stark. The Philippines’ delegation is outnumbered by nearly 50 to 1. Jamaica sent fewer than 40 delegates — as it deals with the aftermath of Hurricane Melissa — while hundreds of industry lobbyists move freely inside the venue.

‘A Flood of Influence’

Civil society groups warn that the negotiations risk being shaped by the very actors accelerating the climate crisis.

“The COP is massively flooded with around 1,500 representatives of the fossil fuel industry — like a river bursting its banks and sweeping everything away,” said Susann Scherbarth of Friends of the Earth Germany.

The criticism echoes growing frustration among scientists and youth groups over the widening gap between climate science and political outcomes. Despite repeated warnings from the IPCC about the need for rapid fossil fuel phase-down, nearly $250 billion worth of new oil and gas projects have been approved since COP29.

Youth delegations expressed alarm that the negotiation space is becoming increasingly inaccessible to those most affected by the climate crisis.

“The UNFCCC is in need of rehabilitation,” said Pim Sullivan-Tailyour from the UK Youth Climate Coalition. “My generation deserves Just Transition policies shaped by what people and the planet need — not what polluters’ profits demand.”

Demands for Integrity and Accountability

Transparency and governance experts argue that the situation has reached a defining moment. “If COP30 is indeed the COP of truth, the Presidency and the UNFCCC Secretariat must strengthen participant disclosure rules,” said Brice Böhmer of Transparency International. “It is time to ensure integrity and restore trust.”

Civil society groups are urging governments to adopt formal conflict-of-interest rules, a step the UNFCCC has so far resisted. They argue that genuine climate progress requires insulating negotiations from actors whose core business models rely on continued fossil fuel extraction.

A Crossroads Moment for the UN Climate Process

COP30 was expected to accelerate global action toward limiting warming to 1.5°C. Instead, it has reopened a fundamental question: Can a climate summit deliver meaningful outcomes when the world’s largest polluters enjoy unprecedented access inside the process?

The KBPO coalition says the answer depends on whether the UNFCCC is willing to adopt structural reforms that prioritise vulnerable communities over powerful corporations.

As the talks continue in Belém, the tension between ambition and influence remains at the heart of COP30 — raising critical questions about transparency, accountability, and the future of global climate governance.

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