Climate
Why Humid Heat Is Becoming India’s Most Dangerous Climate Threat
From menopausal women and taxi drivers to surfing instructors, rising humidity is making heat harder to escape—even indoors.
Humid Heat in India is emerging as a growing public health threat. Through data, expert insights and lived experiences from across the country, EdPublica explores how rising heat and humidity are making everyday life increasingly difficult for millions of Indians.
By 9 a.m., Radha, a 55-year-old office worker from Kottayam in the southern Indian state of Kerala, is already drenched in sweat as she waits for her bus. By noon, waves of heat, anxiety and discomfort begin to set in. Menopause had already brought frequent hot flashes, she says, but rising temperatures and humidity have made them harder to endure.
For Radha, relief no longer comes easily. Even routine tasks feel more exhausting than they once did. Her experience reflects a growing reality across India and much of the world: climate change is not only making the planet hotter, it is making heat harder for the human body to bear.
Humid Heat in India Taking a Growing Toll
When high temperatures combine with high humidity, the body struggles to cool itself through sweating, its primary cooling mechanism. As moisture in the air increases, sweat evaporates less efficiently, causing heat to build up inside the body.
A recent analysis by Climate Central found that dangerous humid heat days have more than doubled globally since the 1970s. The average number of dangerous humid heat days has risen from around 10 days per year to 23 days annually.
Alarmingly, climate change is now responsible for nearly two-thirds of these dangerous humid heat days. The consequences are increasingly visible. A study examining mortality linked to extreme heat events since 2000 estimates that more than 260,000 people have died from heat-related hazards worldwide.
Globally, climate change is now responsible for six times as many dangerous humid heat days each year as it was in the 1970s, underscoring how rapidly the risk has intensified. In 2025 alone, the world experienced an average of 23 dangerous humid heat days. Climate Central estimates that 19 of those days, or 83 percent, were added by human-caused climate change.
“These findings show how profoundly climate change is reshaping our world,” said Kaitlyn Trudeau, Applied Climate Scientist at Climate Central. “Dangerous humid heat has gone from being an uncommon event to a defining feature of daily life in some regions, pushing conditions closer to the limits of what the human body can safely endure.” Climate Central’s analysis of 961 cities worldwide found that 69 percent, or 665 cities, are now experiencing significantly more dangerous humid heat days because of climate change. On average, these cities recorded 46 additional dangerous humid heat days each year during the last decade compared with a world without human-caused warming.
Researchers say the findings highlight how climate change is evolving from an environmental concern into a growing public health emergency, particularly in regions already struggling with heat exposure, limited access to cooling and inadequate health infrastructure.
What Is Humid Heat?
Scientists often use “wet-bulb temperature” to measure humid heat. The metric combines air temperature and humidity to estimate how effectively the human body can cool itself through sweating.
Climate Central defines wet-bulb temperatures of 25°C or higher as dangerous humid heat conditions. When humidity and temperature combine to push wet-bulb temperatures upward, the body’s natural cooling system becomes less effective.
In extreme conditions, the body can no longer regulate its temperature adequately, increasing the risk of heat exhaustion, heat stroke and even death.
Older adults, children, pregnant women and people with pre-existing health conditions face the greatest risks. High humidity can worsen cardiovascular stress, respiratory illnesses and other heat-related health complications.
“Dangerous humid heat has more than doubled since the 1970s. We’re already seeing the consequences play out in real time,” said Lisa Patel, Clinical Associate Professor of Pediatrics at Stanford Children’s Health and Executive Director of the Medical Society Consortium on Climate and Health.
“As a pediatrician, these numbers are a wake-up call. This kind of data is exactly the tool clinicians and public health officials need to anticipate where heat-related illness will strike and who is most at risk before people end up in the emergency room.”
How Humid Heat Is Affecting India
Humid Heat in India is already becoming visible in several cities, particularly along the country’s southern and eastern coasts.
According to Climate Central’s analysis, Tamil Nadu emerges as India’s most affected state. Tirunelveli experiences an average of 273 dangerous humid heat days annually, the highest among Indian cities. Chennai follows with 257 days, while Tiruchirappalli records 251. Vijayawada and Visakhapatnam in Andhra Pradesh, along with Kolkata and Mumbai, are also among India’s humid-heat hotspots.
The danger does not end when people move indoors.
A separate study by Climate Trends found that heat exposure frequently continues inside homes. Researchers monitored temperatures and humidity in 50 low- and middle-income households in Chennai between October 2025 and April 2026 and found that indoor temperatures regularly exceeded 32°C.
Some households experienced more than 5,700 hours above this threshold—equivalent to nearly eight months of continuous heat exposure. Most households recorded between 3,000 and 5,000 hours of such conditions.
The findings suggest that for many urban residents, especially those without access to air conditioning, relief from heat remains elusive even indoors.
Heat, Menopause and Everyday Life
For women such as Radha, humid heat can intensify already challenging health conditions.
The World Health Organization notes that hot flushes and night sweats are among the most common symptoms associated with menopause. These episodes involve sudden sensations of heat in the face, neck and chest, often accompanied by sweating, flushing, palpitations and discomfort.
Women who have undergone hysterectomy are known to experience more frequent and severe hot flushes. According to NFHS-5 data, nearly one in ten women aged 30 to 49 in some regions of India have undergone the procedure.
As temperatures and humidity rise, these symptoms can become even more difficult to manage, adding another layer to the health impacts of climate change that often goes overlooked.
A City Struggling to Cool Down
In Mumbai, 59-year-old driver Vikas says heat has become one of the city’s biggest challenges.
Water shortages are becoming more common, and even routine outdoor work is growing increasingly difficult.
“Sometimes people go to the beach at night just to find some relief from the heat. Even a brief spell of rain feels like a blessing now,” he says. “The problem is only going to get worse.”
His observations echo broader climate trends in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region. Climate Central’s analysis shows that Mumbai experiences an average of 206 dangerous humid heat days annually, while nearby Dombivli and Thane record even higher numbers. The conditions he describes are reflected in current forecasts. Climate Central projected a daily high wet-bulb temperature of 25.6°C in Mumbai on June 23, a level considered dangerous humid heat.
Surfing Through a Hotter Coastline
Further south, the effects are also being felt along India’s coast.
Rajaguru, a surfing instructor in Puducherry, says summers are arriving earlier than before, often beginning in February instead of March.
“We go surfing early in the morning, but even then the heat feels much more intense than it used to,” he says. “Sunburns and skin rashes are becoming common. Summer arrives with extreme heat, while the monsoon season increasingly brings cyclones.”
He has also noticed rising sea temperatures and changes in water conditions that affect both tourism and outdoor activities.
For people whose livelihoods depend on spending long hours outdoors, humid heat is becoming more than an inconvenience—it is becoming an occupational hazard.
The Vulnerability Gap
These experiences reflect a larger challenge facing India. The impacts of Humid Heat in India are magnified by inequalities in access to cooling, housing and reliable electricity.
Between 1995 and 2024, the country experienced 430 extreme weather events, resulting in more than 80,000 deaths and economic losses exceeding USD 170 billion. Rapid urbanisation has intensified the urban heat island effect, making cities significantly hotter than surrounding rural areas.
The latest Climate Change in the Indian Mind survey found that 84 percent of Indians report experiencing the effects of global warming. Yet only 15 percent of households own an air conditioner and 27 percent have access to an air cooler.
Even for those with cooling systems, reliable electricity is not guaranteed. Around 66 percent of Indians experience power disruptions on a typical day, even as demand surges during heatwaves. On May 21, 2026, India’s peak electricity consumption reached a record 270 gigawatts.
Despite being the world’s third-largest emitter of carbon dioxide, India’s per-capita emissions remain relatively low, reflecting deep inequalities in energy consumption and access.
For millions of people, escaping extreme heat is simply not an option.
When the Air Stops Offering Relief
Dangerous Humid Heat in India is already reshaping how people live, work and survive. As temperatures and humidity continue to rise, the boundary between uncomfortable and life-threatening conditions is becoming increasingly thin.
For millions of Indians, the challenge is no longer adapting to hotter days. It is adapting to air that no longer offers relief. As humidity rises alongside temperatures, surviving heat may become as much about access to cooling and electricity as it is about climate itself.
The future of climate adaptation may begin not in policy documents or air-conditioned offices, but in homes, buses, streets and workplaces where the heat is already impossible to ignore.
Climate
India Wants Climate Action, Not Just Climate Warnings
Indians are calling for urgent climate action as pollution intensify. A new survey shows strong public support for clean energy and policy change.
Pollution in India has embedded itself into everyday life. The extent to which it affects people often goes unnoticed until it rides along with morning traffic, seeps through open windows, and settles into daily routines. Cities like Delhi and Ghaziabad routinely appear in global pollution rankings. The problem is structural, persistent, and increasingly demand climate action.
A recent survey on public perceptions of environmental issues suggests that Indians view climate change as an immediate threat to their local communities and personal well-being.
Widespread Concern Over Pollution
The survey highlighted a high level of anxiety regarding pollution in India. Around 77% of Indians expressed significant concern about air pollution. This concern exists alongside fears of other climate-related hazards, including severe heat waves (77%) and droughts or water shortages (76%). The findings suggest that the public views pollution as part of a broader environmental crisis already affecting everyday life.
“People need credible information about what governments, businesses, communities, and households can do, how clean-energy transitions create jobs and improve air quality, and how local actions connect to larger climate goals,” Jagadish Thaker, one of the lead authors of the study, told EdPublica.
Public concern over air quality is also reflected in environmental data. India ranked sixth among 143 countries in PM2.5 pollution levels in the 2025 World Air Quality Report. At the city level, the situation appears even more severe, with New Delhi continuing to rank as the world’s most polluted capital city for the eighth consecutive year.
Identifying the Culprits: Fossil Fuels and Coal
“What is striking in our data is how consistently supportive Indians are of the energy transition. These findings suggest that public opinion may be less of a barrier to climate and energy policy than is often assumed. For communicators, one challenge is helping people understand how long-term energy transitions actually occur and what role citizens can play in them,” said Thaker.
Large majorities of respondents identified oil (76%) and coal (68%) as polluting sources of electricity. India’s energy sector still relies on coal for nearly 70% of its electricity generation. At the same time, there is growing public recognition that coal is a major contributor to both local air pollution and global warming.
Interestingly, around 82% of Indians support banning the construction of new coal-fired power plants and gradually shutting down existing ones in favour of solar and wind energy. This support is driven by the belief that such a transition would benefit the people of India (87%) and offer the best pathway toward a “healthy, safe, and prosperous future.”
Shift Toward Climate Action
Support for renewable energy transitions is particularly strong. Nearly 95% of respondents favoured a national programme prioritising renewable-energy job training for youth and women, while 93% supported renewable-energy job training in general.
At the same time, 78% of Indians believe the government should be doing more to address climate and pollution-related challenges. Respondents also pointed to the need for hyperlocal, area-specific training programmes and structural policy reforms.
Reflecting on the findings, Thaker said: “These findings suggest that climate communication should not focus only on risks. Indians appear highly interested in solutions, skills, and opportunities. Effective climate education can help people understand climate change, but it can also help them see pathways to participate in the transition through employment, innovation, and community action. Education is most powerful when it links climate action to everyday benefits and opportunities.”
Climate
When the Pacific Heats Up: What a Super El Niño Means for India?
Super El Niño may disrupt India’s monsoon, increase heatwaves, and strain the economy. Here’s what it means for climate, agriculture, and growth.
El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon in which surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean become significantly warmer than average. While El Niño events occur every 2–7 years, a Super El Niño is far more intense, typically marked by unusually high sea surface temperature anomalies (often exceeding +2°C). Climate models indicate a two-in-three chance of a strong to very strong El Niño developing, placing this year in the rare category of “Super El Niño” events, which have occurred only four times since 1950. The most notable recent Super El Niño occurred during 2015–16 and had major global climate impacts. Nearly a decade later, scientists are closely monitoring conditions for signs of a similar event, though its recurrence is not yet certain.
What makes a “Super” El Niño different?
In a normal El Niño, weakened trade winds allow warm water to spread eastward across the Pacific. A Super El Niño amplifies this process, disrupting global atmospheric circulation more dramatically. Global warming is adding further complexity, intensifying heat, altering rainfall patterns, and increasing risks to water, food, and health systems.
There is a recurring pattern where the peak heat impact often follows strong El Niño year, as seen when 2024 became the hottest year after the 2023 El Niño. Projections for 2026 suggest that the most intense heat may extend into 2027, making the period break the existing record. As a result, the upcoming event may lead to more prolonged and sustained heat stress known to humanity.
What does it mean for India?
For India, a Super El Niño does not have a uniform impact. The risks posed by a potential El Niño go beyond weather disruptions, extending deep into India’s economic stability. As Archana Chaudhary, Associate Director at Climate Trends, explains, “The risk India faces is not simply a weak monsoon or a hot year in isolation. It is a compound shock hitting the Indian economy… If a strong El Niño brings erratic rainfall alongside prolonged heat, while geopolitical tensions keep energy prices elevated, India could face pressure from several directions at once: food inflation, weaker rural demand, lower labour productivity, higher electricity and irrigation costs, water stress for industry and rising fiscal burdens.”
While parts of Maharashtra and Uttarakhand have experienced lower rainfall, water shortages, and warmer conditions, regions in the Northeast and along the west coast have received relatively higher rainfall and increased storm activity. Heavy rainfall reported in parts of West Bengal highlights that El Niño does not affect all regions of India in the same way. There are indications that similar uneven patterns could re-emerge. Authorities have urged farmers to be prepared for the kharif season, citing the possibility of variable rainfall conditions.
The Signs of a Pattern Reappearing
Studies show that the 2015 monsoon was significantly below average (around 86% of the long-period average), with rainfall declining after June and showing high variability. This led to drought-like conditions in several regions, reduced soil moisture, and stress on kharif crops. At the same time, India experienced one of its deadliest heatwaves, with temperatures crossing 45°C and causing over 2,500 deaths, particularly in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana.
The emerging 2026 Super El Niño, comparable to the 2015–16 event, is already showing signs of producing similar but more complex impacts on India’s climate. According to the India Meteorological Department, the 2026 southwest monsoon is projected at around 90% of the Long Period Average, with a 60% probability of deficient rainfall, figures close to the deficit observed during 2015. However, unlike 2015, when the impact was seen primarily as a widespread rainfall deficit and deadly heatwaves, current projections highlight greater intra-seasonal variability, with longer dry spells,break-monsoon conditions, and uneven rainfall distribution. Experts also warn that delayed monsoon progression could trigger humid heatwaves across northwest India. while the event may push 2026–27 toward record global and national temperatures.
Strain on India’s Climate Systems
According to scientists at the India Meteorological Department (IMD), El Niño is “one of the most important Ocean–atmosphere phenomena influencing the Indian monsoon,” but it does not act alone. There are also other factors at play, such as the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and regional circulation patterns. They can either amplify or offset its effects.
Super El Niño increases the probability of climatic stress. Overlapping challenges from fuel price volatility and supply disruptions to climate extremes are growing more difficult to address in tandem. The combined pressure of heat, low rainfall and global economic shocks is pushing India’s already stretched systems toward greater instability. With rising baseline temperatures, even a typical El Niño can now produce more extreme outcomes, making preparedness, water management, and climate-resilient agriculture increasingly critical.
Climate
World Meteorological Organization Warns of a Record- breaking Global Heat Surge by 2030.
WMO warns of a global heat surge by 2030, with rising chances of record temperatures, Arctic warming, and frequent breaches of the 1.5°C climate threshold.
With forecasters now placing strong odds on a new global heat surge by 2030, a temperature record could be set within the next five years. The planet is on track for another stretch of extreme heat. A fresh outlook from the WMO projects that 2026 through 2030 will stay at or near the hottest levels ever measured, continuing a warming trend that has already pushed the climate into extends not seen in recorded history. Despite years of efforts to cut emissions, the planet keeps warming and the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C goal is now getting tested more often than not.
The numbers show how far the planet has drifted from the goals set out in the agreement, which calls for keeping long-term warming under 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The WMO now puts the odds at 91% that at least one year in this window will tip past that mark, even if only briefly. More notably, there’s a three-in-four chance that the five-year average itself will land above 1.5°C.
That doesn’t mean the Paris targets have been missed, those are tracked over decades, not single years. But scientists say breaches like this happening more often is itself a warning sign of how close the world is getting to its long-term limits.
Per the forecast, yearly global temperatures through 2030 should fall somewhere between 1.3°C and 1.9°C above the 1850–1900 baseline, and there’s an 86% likelihood that at least one of those years will top 2024, which currently holds the record for hottest year on record.
Why 2027 Is on Watch?
Much of this hinges on the tropical Pacific. Forecasters expect El Niño conditions to develop by late 2026, which would inject extra heat into the atmosphere on top of the warming already driven by greenhouse gases.
“There is an El Niño predicted for the end of 2026, which increases the chances of the following year, 2027, being the next record-breaking year,” said Dr. Leon Hermanson, the report’s lead author.
Arctic Heat Surge Signals Escalating Climate Crisis
No region escapes the warming, but the Arctic remains the outlier. The WMO expects winter temperatures there over the next five years to run roughly 2.8°C above the 1991–2020 average, more than triple the rate projected for the planet overall.
This tracks with what’s known as Arctic amplification, the well-documented pattern of the region warming faster than everywhere else. The fallout includes retreating sea ice, thawing permafrost, and ripple effects on weather systems well beyond the poles. The report specifically flags continued ice loss in the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk.
Wetter Up North, Drier Down South
Rainfall is being reshaped too. The forecast points to wetter-than-normal winters across the northern high latitudes including the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and Siberia along with increased rain in parts of the tropics. Meanwhile, several subtropical zones, the Amazon among them, are expected to turn drier. This split fits what scientists have predicted for a warming world, where a hotter atmosphere holds more moisture and disrupts long-standing rainfall patterns.
Caution behind the numbers
Beyond the headline numbers, the report is a reminder that climate change isn’t an abstract future problem, it’s already shaping decisions around farming, water access, infrastructure, public health, and disaster planning.
The assessment was compiled by the UK Met Office on the WMO’s behalf, pulling forecasts from 13 climate centers worldwide. Scientists say their confidence in these projections is high, since similar forecasting models have held up well against historical climate data. If the predictions are accurate, the back half of this decade may end up defined less by any single record and more by how this heat surge was effectively tackled.
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