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Europe’s Potato Crisis Could Hit Your Chips

More than 3.5 million tonnes of potatoes could be lost across Europe and Britain as extreme heat and drought cut yields and push up processing prices.

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A farmer harvests potatoes by hand in a field, with rows of dry and withered potato plants visible nearby.
A farmer harvests potatoes from a field where withered plants show signs of heat and water stress. Extreme heat and drought are reducing potato yields across parts of Europe. Representational image. Image credit: Roly Celier Cota Lapaca/ Pexels

Europe’s potato harvest is heading into a difficult season after extreme heat and drought cut yields across some of the continent’s biggest potato-growing regions. Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands could lose around 3.1 million tonnes of potatoes compared with their five-year average, according to a new analysis by the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU). When Great Britain is included, the estimated weather-related loss rises to more than 3.5 million tonnes.

At current prices, the lost production across the five countries could be worth between €498 million and €818 million. The impact is already visible in the potato market, where processors are paying substantially more for supplies.

Smaller Crop Before the Drought

The weather shock came after European farmers had already reduced potato planting. A glut in 2025 pushed potato prices down, prompting growers to cut the area planted in 2026. The planted area fell by 11% in Germany, 10% in France, 15% in the Netherlands and 17% in Belgium.

Had yields remained at their five-year averages, the smaller planted area alone would have resulted in an estimated 3.6 million-tonne reduction in production. The drought added another layer of losses. ECIU estimates yields are 13% below the five-year average in France, 21% lower in Belgium, 10% lower in Germany and 7% lower in the Netherlands.

For Great Britain, where the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board stopped publishing harvest and yield estimates in 2021, the analysis uses an estimate from World Potato Markets. It puts yields around 11% below the 2021–25 average, based on conditions similar to the 2018 drought.

Tom Lancaster, land, food and farming analyst at ECIU, said the effects of the summer’s heat and drought were becoming increasingly visible in industry yield estimates. “As one of Europe’s thirstiest crops, it was inevitable that the potato harvest would be hit hard,” he said.

Heat Shrinking the Potatoes

The problem is not only the amount harvested. Heat and water shortages are also affecting potato size. Belgium, the world’s largest exporter of frozen fries, has reported particularly severe problems with Fontane, its main frying variety.

Potatoes moving along a harvesting machine conveyor during a mechanical harvest.
Freshly harvested potatoes move along a mechanical harvester as they are lifted from the soil and separated from field debris. Representational image. Image credit: Erwin Bosman/ Pexels

By the end of August, Fontane was yielding around 32 tonnes per hectare, 30% below the previous year. Only about half of the crop was above the 50 mm size preferred by processors. For the processing industry, that distinction matters. A potato crop can survive a dry season while still producing fewer tubers that meet the size requirements for products such as chips and frozen fries.

Recent rainfall may have improved conditions in some areas, but industry estimates suggest it came too late to reverse much of the damage.

Potato Prices are Rising

The tighter supply is showing up in processing markets. Belgian free-market potatoes have risen from zero in April to €200 or more a tonne. German processing potatoes have reached about €240 a tonne, compared with a season low of €15 in June.

In Britain, processors are paying more than £300 a tonne, up from £180 in February. These are processing-market prices rather than direct measures of what consumers will pay. But they show the pressure developing further up the supply chain as processors compete for potatoes that meet their requirements.

Farmers Caught Between Two Bad Years

For potato farmers, the weather shock has come after a difficult market year. Jean-Paul Dallene, a potato farmer in Pas-de-Calais, said he had surplus potatoes last year and was forced to sell them at a loss. This year, drought has reduced his yield by 12 tonnes per hectare. He estimates the resulting loss of income at around €4,300 per hectare, from lower yields and contract prices.

Dallene has already changed his farming practices, including adopting no-till methods to reduce the impact of water shortages. But the severity of this year’s drought and heat exceeded what he expected.

His experience highlights the economic difficulty of adapting to a more volatile climate. Farmers can change cultivation practices, but they still face weather they cannot control and markets that can swing sharply between oversupply and shortage.

Water Management Crisis

Potatoes require substantial water during tuber development. Higher temperatures can increase the crop’s water demand at the same time that drought reduces the water available.

That makes water management increasingly important. Cedric Porter, editor of World Potato Markets, said farmers would need to prepare for both extremes. “Investment in water management, whether it is conserving water when there is too much or irrigating during dry summers, will be essential to the continued success of the crop,” he said.

That means adaptation cannot depend on irrigation alone. Storing water during wetter periods, improving soil moisture retention and making more efficient use of available water could become increasingly important for potato production.

Climate Problem With Food Price Effect

The potato losses are part of a wider pattern of climate stress across Europe. World Weather Attribution found that temperatures during this summer’s European heatwave would have been virtually impossible” 50 years ago. Its assessment of the drought also found that human-caused warming had increased the likelihood and severity of the conditions.

For agriculture, the significance lies in the combination of hazards. Heat increases water demand. Drought reduces water availability. Heavy rainfall at other times can damage soils and crops or make fields difficult to work. These shifts make it harder for farmers to rely on historical growing conditions when deciding what and how much to plant.

The Biological Hangover

The immediate concern is supply. But the longer-term issue is predictability. Europe went from a potato glut and low prices in 2025 to reduced planting in 2026, followed by heat and drought that further cut yields. The result could be more than 3.5 million tonnes of weather-related production losses across five major markets.

For consumers, that pressure can eventually feed into the price of chips and other potato products. For farmers, the bigger challenge is managing a crop when both sides of the equation are becoming more uncertain: the weather that determines yields and the market that determines whether those yields are profitable.

Porter notes that Europe has experienced four droughts since 2018, alongside periods of heavy rainfall during winter and spring. The potato may be an everyday food, but its increasingly unpredictable journey from field to processor is another measure of how climate change is reshaping Europe’s food system.

EP Staff is the editorial team at EdPublica, an independent media organisation focused on science, education, environment and public policy. The team produces evidence-based news, features, explainers and analysis on issues that shape society and everyday life.

Climate

Climate Disasters Disrupted Schooling for 171 Million Students in 2025, UNICEF Finds

Climate disasters disrupted schooling for 171 million students worldwide in 2025, highlighting the urgent need for climate-resilient schools and education systems.

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A child walks past a weather-damaged wooden school building with a partially missing roof.
Climate-related disasters can damage school infrastructure and disrupt children's access to education.Image credit:UNICEF/UNI779465/Ralaivita

Climate-related disasters disrupted schooling for at least 171 million students worldwide in 2025, affecting one in every 10 school-age children, according to a new UNICEF report that warns of growing threats to learning, educational equality and future economic prospects.

The report, Learning Interrupted: Global Snapshot of Climate-Related School Disruptions in 2025, released on September 10, analysed data from 106 countries and territories. It found that storms, floods, heatwaves, droughts and wildfires caused school closures, shortened teaching hours, reduced attendance and shifts to remote learning.

The findings underline how climate change is emerging as a threat to educational continuity, particularly in countries where schools lack the infrastructure and resources to withstand extreme weather.

Storms and floods interrupt learning

Storms were the leading cause of climate-related school disruptions in 2025, affecting 109 million students globally. Floods affected at least 70 million, while heatwaves disrupted schooling for approximately 50 million children. These figures overlap and should not be added together as separate groups.

In Pakistan, severe monsoon flooding in August delayed the return to school for more than 28 million students. In Egypt, a powerful Khamsin wind-and-dust storm prompted a nationwide suspension of classes for one day, affecting more than 28 million students.

The problem extends beyond individual disasters. Forty countries experienced multiple rounds of climate-related school disruptions during 2025, exposing students to repeated interruptions throughout the academic year.

Floods can damage classrooms, sanitation facilities and learning materials, while extreme heat can make classrooms unsafe and undermine students’ ability to concentrate. Even after schools reopen, damaged infrastructure, disrupted transport and household financial pressures can prevent children from returning to regular attendance.

A growing threat to educational equality

Three-quarters of the students affected in 2025 lived in low- and lower-middle-income countries, where education systems often have fewer resources to prepare for disasters and restore teaching afterwards, UNICEF found.

The World Bank’s 2024 report, Choosing Our Future: Education for Climate Action, offers further evidence of the long-term challenge. It estimated that 400 million students globally experienced school closures due to extreme weather between 2022 and 2024. In affected schools in low-income countries, students lost approximately 45 instructional days between January 2022 and June 2024, compared with around six days in high-income countries.

These interruptions can compound existing educational disadvantages. Students from wealthier households may have access to private tutoring, digital devices and alternative learning arrangements. Children from poorer households may lack internet connectivity, electricity or suitable spaces to study during closures.

South Asia’s exposure highlights the challenge

UNICEF’s previous assessment, covering 2024, recorded at least 242 million students experiencing climate-related school disruptions across 85 countries and territories. South Asia was the most affected region, with 128 million students impacted. Heatwaves affected an estimated 171 million students worldwide that year.

India was among the countries affected by heat-related educational disruptions. In April 2024, extreme heat contributed to school interruptions across Bangladesh, Cambodia, India, the Philippines and Thailand, affecting at least 118 million children collectively. The figure represents the five-country group, not India alone.

The 2024 and 2025 totals should not be interpreted as a direct year-on-year decline. The reports covered different sets of countries and climate events, and the number of recorded disruptions depends on the incidents identified in each assessment.

Climate-resilient schools become a priority

UNICEF estimates that disruptions experienced in 2025 could cost affected students at least US$200 billion in lifetime earnings through lost learning and widening educational inequalities. This is a projection of potential future losses, rather than income already lost.

The World Bank has argued that relatively modest investments can help schools adapt. Its 2024 analysis estimated that a one-time investment of US$18.51 per child could help mitigate learning losses through measures such as improving classroom temperatures, strengthening school infrastructure and training teachers.

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Aerial view showing significant flood damage in a residential neighborhood with inundated streets and homes.Image credit:Pexels

UNICEF is calling for climate resilience to be incorporated into education planning, alongside investment in stronger school buildings, emergency preparedness and systems that allow teaching to continue during disasters.

As extreme weather increasingly interrupts academic calendars, education systems must prepare not only to enrol children but also to protect their ability to learn. Climate-resilient infrastructure, early-warning systems and plans for educational continuity will be essential to ensuring that disasters do not deepen existing inequalities in access to education.

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India Scores Just 2 Out of 32 for Integrating Health into Climate Commitments

India has scored just 2 out of 32 in a global assessment of how national climate commitments integrate public health. The 2026 Healthy NDC Scorecard highlights gaps in India’s approach to air pollution, climate-related health risks and the implementation of health-focused climate action.

Jishnu P

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Stethoscope, medical mask and red heart symbolising the links between public health and climate action.
India has scored just 2 out of 32 in a global assessment of how national climate commitments integrate public health. The 2026 Healthy NDC Scorecard highlights gaps in India's approach to air pollution, climate-related health risks and the implementation of health-focused climate action.

India has scored just two out of a possible 32 points for integrating health into its climate commitments, placing it among the lowest-performing countries in a new global assessment of national climate plans. The findings highlight a significant gap between climate policy and public health in a country grappling with severe air pollution and growing exposure to climate-related hazards.

The Healthy NDC Scorecard, published on October 14 by the Global Climate and Health Alliance (GCHA), assessed the climate plans of 132 countries that submitted their 2035 commitments to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change before August 1, 2026. Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) outline the climate actions countries intend to undertake under the Paris Agreement.

India’s score of 2 out of 32 indicates that its latest climate commitment does not adequately recognise the connections between climate change, air quality and human health. Japan and New Zealand received the same score, placing all three among the lowest-scoring countries in the assessment.

The findings are particularly significant for India because the country continues to face a substantial burden of air-pollution-related deaths. The scorecard cites State of Global Air data indicating 186.2 air-pollution deaths per 100,000 people in India, underscoring the scale of the public health challenge.

Health missing from climate planning

The scorecard evaluates national climate commitments across eight categories: health impacts, air pollution, health-sector action, health co-benefits, just transition, integrated governance, economics and finance, and monitoring and implementation.

Each category carries a maximum of four points. Together, they assess whether governments recognise the health consequences of climate change and pollution, outline measures to address them, provide for implementation and monitoring, and connect climate action with wider public health benefits.

India’s scorecard records zero points in six categories: health impacts, air pollution, health-sector action, health co-benefits, just transition, and economics and finance. It receives one point for integrated governance and one for monitoring and implementation.

The assessment also identifies India among the countries that do not refer to air-pollution considerations in their NDCs, despite its high air-pollution mortality burden. The report further states that India’s emissions-reduction targets have been assessed by Climate Action Tracker as not aligned with the Paris Agreement.

These findings suggest that the challenge extends beyond setting emissions targets. Climate commitments also need to address how rising temperatures, deteriorating air quality and extreme weather affect people, and how governments will monitor and finance measures to reduce those risks.

Developing countries lead the rankings

The results show that stronger integration of health into climate planning is possible. Colombia topped the assessment with 29 points, followed by Nigeria with 25 and Cambodia with 24. Paraguay and Timor-Leste completed the top five, scoring 22 points each.

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India Scores Just 2 Out of 32 for Integrating Health into Climate Commitments. Image credit:NDC Scorecard

Notably, 19 of the 20 highest-scoring countries were low- and middle-income economies. Colombia’s performance demonstrates how health considerations can be incorporated more comprehensively into national climate commitments.

However, the report cautions against interpreting a higher health score as evidence that a country is doing enough to reduce emissions. Nigeria, for example, combines a high score for health integration with strong climate ambition, while several other high-emitting economies have not matched their attention to health with sufficiently ambitious emissions-reduction targets.

The European Union scored 12, while China, Brazil and the United Kingdom scored nine, seven and nine respectively. The assessment found that these and other major emitters continued to fall short of the emissions reductions needed to protect health.

The findings illustrate two related requirements for effective climate policy: governments must recognise and address the health consequences of climate change, while also reducing emissions sufficiently to limit future warming.

Air pollution offers an immediate opportunity

The GCHA report identifies reductions in short-lived climate pollutants as an opportunity to deliver simultaneous climate and health benefits. These include black carbon, methane, hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) and tropospheric ozone, which contribute to warming and, in several cases, harm human health through air pollution.

Only five countries — Cambodia, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica and Paraguay — included targets to reduce black carbon in their climate commitments, according to the assessment.

Reducing these pollutants can slow near-term warming while improving air quality and reducing associated health risks. The report argues that these measures can generate benefits within relatively short periods, alongside the longer-term necessity of cutting carbon dioxide emissions.

For India, the absence of air-pollution considerations from its assessed NDC represents a missed opportunity to connect climate action with an existing public health priority. Integrating air-quality targets into climate planning could help policymakers address pollution and climate risks through a more coordinated approach.

Finance remains a critical challenge

The scorecard also highlights the gap between climate commitments and the resources required to implement them. Citing the latest State of Global Air Quality Funding report, the GCHA says outdoor air-quality funding receives less than one per cent of development funding, despite air pollution’s estimated economic costs amounting to five per cent of global gross domestic product through health impacts, lost productivity and reduced life expectancy.

The report argues that countries need adequate finance to translate national commitments into measures that protect communities. This is especially important for developing economies facing substantial climate risks while having fewer resources to implement adaptation and health-protection measures.

With the 31st United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP31) approaching, the GCHA identifies climate finance as a key issue for international negotiations. It also stresses the importance of maintaining commitments to a just transition away from fossil fuels, which has implications for workers, communities and public health.

For India, the scorecard provides a benchmark against which future climate commitments can be assessed. Its findings point to the need for stronger recognition of health impacts, explicit attention to air pollution, better coordination across sectors, and clearer provisions for financing and monitoring implementation.

The assessment does not measure the full extent of India’s climate or public health policies; it evaluates how health considerations are reflected in the country’s submitted climate commitment. Nevertheless, its central message is clear: climate plans need to do more than promise emissions reductions. They must also demonstrate how climate action will protect people’s health.

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The Monsoon’s New Rhythm: Less Rain, More Intense Downpours

India’s deficient 2026 monsoon highlights the risks of uneven rainfall, from long dry spells to intense downpours, floods and landslides.

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Lightning strikes beneath dark storm clouds as heavy rain falls over a town near green hills.
Intense rainfall and thunderstorms highlight the risks associated with extreme monsoon weather. Representational image. Image credit: Gleive Marcio Rodrigues de Souza/ Pexels

India’s 2026 monsoon ended with a significant rainfall deficit, yet intense downpours continued to cause concern. The changing monsoon pattern raises questions about floods, landslides and how the country prepares for extreme weather. India’s southwest monsoon ended in 2026 with 13% less rainfall than normal, according to the analysis by Climate Trends. Yet a shortage of rain over the season does not mean that every part of the country remained dry. Some places experienced heavy downpours even as others faced long periods without enough rain.

This is one of the challenges of a changing monsoon. Rain may fall heavily within a few hours and then disappear for days or weeks. Such a pattern can leave farmers struggling with dry soil while exposing other areas to sudden floods and landslides. The important question is not simply how much rain India receives each year. It is also how quickly the rain falls, where it falls and how prepared communities are to deal with it.

Less Rain Can Still Mean Floods

Monsoon rainfall is usually measured by comparing the total amount received during the season with the long-term average. This helps scientists understand whether a season has been wetter or drier than normal. But the total does not reveal how the rain was spread across the four months.

Imagine a district that receives most of its seasonal rainfall in just a few days. The total may look reasonable, but the heavy downpours could flood roads, damage homes and wash away crops. The same district could then face several weeks without rain, leaving its fields dry.

Changing monsoon
A sudden cloudburst leaves city roads submerged, disrupting traffic as floodwater spreads across an urban stretch. Representational image. Image credit: Dibakar Roy/ Pexels

Research shows that rainfall patterns have changed in several parts of India. A study published in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science in 2024 found that short periods of heavy rain had become more frequent in central India in recent decades. It also found an increase in longer spells of heavy rain along the northern west coast. The changes were not the same everywhere, with some regions showing different trends. These findings show why seasonal rainfall figures alone cannot explain the risks people face.

The 2026 monsoon analysis by Climate Trends also points to changes in the way weather systems move across India. Mahesh Palawat, vice-president of meteorology and climate change at Skymet Weather, said low-pressure systems were spending more time over land while retaining their strength. He linked this behaviour to an increase in extreme rainfall events and cloudburst-like conditions. Understanding these changes is important because the effects of a monsoon depend partly on when and where the rain arrives.

Changing Monsoon: Are Cloudbursts Becoming More Common?

The word cloudburst is often used to describe any sudden spell of very heavy rain. However, it has a specific meaning in weather science. The India Meteorological Department defines a cloudburst as rainfall of 100 millimetres or more within one hour over a small area. Such a large amount of rain falling in a short time can quickly flood low-lying areas and trigger landslides, particularly in mountainous regions.

Not every flood or heavy downpour is a cloudburst. Flooding can also happen when rain continues for several hours, rivers overflow or drainage systems fail to carry away the water. Identifying a cloudburst requires rainfall measurements that confirm how much rain fell and how quickly it arrived.

Forecasting these events is difficult because they affect relatively small areas. A weather forecast may warn of heavy rain across a district without identifying the exact village or hillside that will receive the most intense rainfall. Research has found changes in extreme rainfall in parts of India, but this does not establish that cloudbursts are becoming more frequent throughout the country. More detailed records are needed to determine whether the frequency of cloudbursts themselves has increased.

The broader concern is that intense rainfall can cause serious damage, especially where people and infrastructure are exposed to floods and landslides.

How Climate Change Adds to the Risk

A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture. When weather conditions allow that moisture to form rain, it can contribute to heavier downpours. Climate change does not cause every extreme rainfall event, and the amount of rain produced also depends on wind patterns, local geography and other weather conditions.

The developing El Niño is another factor to watch. This natural climate phenomenon involves warmer-than-usual sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean and can influence India’s monsoon and temperatures. Its effects vary from one event to another.

In the 2026 Climate Trends analysis, climate scientist Roxy Mathew Koll of the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology said global warming raises background temperatures and can intensify some of El Niño’s effects. He also highlighted how changes in land use, including deforestation, can worsen local impacts.

Ground Matters as much as the Weather

In hilly areas, heavy rain can soak the soil and make slopes unstable. Cutting into hillsides, removing vegetation and building on vulnerable slopes can increase the danger. When large amounts of rain arrive in a short period, water can rush downhill, carrying soil, rocks and debris with it.

Cities face a different problem. Roads, buildings and paved surfaces prevent much of the rainwater from soaking into the ground. If drains are blocked or too small to carry the water, streets can flood quickly. Building over wetlands and natural waterways also reduces the space available for excess water to flow or collect safely.

These activities do not create a cloudburst. They can, however, make its effects more destructive. Kerala offers an important example. The state recorded a 28% monsoon rainfall deficit in 2026, according to the Climate Trends analysis. Yet its steep Western Ghats slopes, rivers and densely populated areas remain exposed to the dangers of intense rainfall.

A season with less rain overall can still include localised downpours capable of causing serious damage. A rainfall deficit does not remove the risk of floods or landslides.

Beginning with Better warnings

Weather forecasts can help people prepare for heavy rain, but warnings alone cannot prevent disasters. Their effectiveness depends on whether people receive them in time, understand the danger and have a safe place to go.

India needs more reliable rainfall monitoring, particularly in mountain districts, landslide-prone areas and cities that frequently experience flooding. Automatic rain gauges and weather radars can help authorities track how much rain is falling and identify dangerous conditions. These systems also need regular maintenance and timely sharing of information.

Warnings must be useful at the local level. Telling residents that heavy rain is expected across a district may not be enough for people living beside a stream or below an unstable hillside. Local authorities need maps showing which settlements face the greatest risks, along with clear evacuation routes, shelters and plans for moving people to safety.

The way land is used also needs attention. Construction in flood-prone areas and on unstable slopes can expose more people to danger. Protecting wetlands, keeping natural drainage channels clear and preserving vegetation where it helps stabilise slopes can reduce some of the damage caused by heavy rain.

Infrastructure must be able to handle intense downpours. Drains, culverts and bridges need to be assessed against local rainfall conditions, while buildings and roads in vulnerable areas require appropriate flood and slope-risk assessments. Better planning can reduce the likelihood that heavy rain will turn into a disaster.

Preparing for dry spells is equally important. Rainwater harvesting, groundwater management and better soil care can help communities cope when rainfall becomes irregular. Farmers can also improve their resilience by choosing suitable crops and practices that require less water, depending on local conditions.

Planning for Both Floods and Droughts

India depends on the monsoon for farming, drinking water and replenishing rivers and reservoirs. But the seasonal total does not tell the whole story when rainfall is unevenly distributed.

Long dry spells can reduce soil moisture and put pressure on water supplies. Intense downpours can overwhelm drainage systems, damage crops and trigger landslides. Both risks can occur within the same monsoon season. The evidence supports closer monitoring of extreme rainfall and better preparation for its consequences. It does not yet justify claiming that cloudbursts are increasing everywhere in India.

Preparing for this changing pattern requires better weather observations, warnings that reach vulnerable communities, safer construction and protection of natural drainage systems. Water management and agriculture must also account for the possibility of long gaps between rain spells.

No forecasting system can prevent every extreme weather event. But better preparation can help people respond sooner and reduce the damage when intense rain arrives. The challenge is to prepare for the rain India receives, rather than rely only on how much rain the monsoon is expected to bring.

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