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Space & Physics

In search for red aurorae in ancient Japan

Ryuho Kataoka, a Japanese auroral scientist, played a seminal role in searching for evidence of super-geomagnetic storms in the past using historical methods

Karthik Vinod

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Professor Ryuho Kataoka in his office at NIPR, with the fan-shaped painting behind him, Picture courtesy: RK Works

Aurorae seen on Earth are the end of a complex process that begins with a violent, dynamic process deep within the sun’s interior.

However, studying the depths of the sun is no easy task, even for scientists. The best they can do is to observe the surface using space-based telescopes. One problem that scientists are attempting to solve is how a super-geomagnetic storm on Earth comes to being. These geomagnetic storms find their roots in sunspots, that are acne-like depressions on the sun’s surface. As the sun approaches the peak of its 11-year solar cycle, these sunspots, numbering in the hundreds, occasionally release all that stored magnetic energy into deep space, in the form of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) (which are hot wisps of gas superheated to thousands of degrees).

If the earth lies in the path of an oncoming CME, the energy release from their resultant magnetic field alignment can cause intense geomagnetic storms and aurorae on Earth.

This phenomenon, which is astrophysical and also electromagnetic in nature, can have serious repercussions for our modern technological society.

Super-geomagnetic storms, a particularly worse form of geomagnetic storm, can induce power surges in our infrastructure, causing power outages that can plunge the world into darkness, and can cause irreversible damages to our infrastructure. The last recorded super-geomagnetic storm event occurred more than 150 years ago. Known as the Carrington event, the storm destroyed telegraph lines across North America and Europe in 1859. The risk for a Carrington-class event to happen again was estimated to be 1 in 500-years, which is quite low, but based on limited data. Ramifications are extremely dangerous if it were to ever happen.

However, in the past decade, it was learnt that such super-geomagnetic storms are much more common than scientists had figured. To top it all, it wasn’t just science, but it was a valuable contribution by art – specifically ancient Japanese and Chinese historical records that shaped our modern understanding of super-geomagnetic storms.

Ryuho Kataoka, a Japanese space physicist, played a seminal role in searching for evidence of super-geomagnetic storms in the past using historical methods. He is presently an associate professor in physics, holding positions at Japan’s National Institute of Polar Research, and The Graduate University for Advanced Studies.

“There is no modern digital dataset to identify extreme space weather events, particularly super-geomagnetic storms,” said Professor Kataoka. “If you have good enough data, we can input them into supercomputers to do physics-based simulation.”

However, sunspot records go until the late 18th century when sunspots were actively being cataloged. In an effort to fill the data gap, Professor Kataoka decided to be at the helm of a very new but promising interdisciplinary field combining the arts with space physics. “The data is limited by at least 50 years,” said Professor Kataoka. “So we decided to search for these red vapor events in Japanese history, and see the occurrence patterns … and if we are lucky enough, we can see detailed features in these lights, pictures or drawings.” Until the summer of 2015, Ryuho Kataoka wasn’t aware of how vast ancient Japanese and Chinese history records really were.

In the past 7 years, he’s researched a very specific red aurora, in documents extending to more than 1400 years. “Usually, auroras are known for their green colors – but during the geomagnetic storm, the situation is very different,” he said. “Red is of course unusual, but we can only see red during a powerful geomagnetic storm, especially in lower latitudes. From a scientific perspective, it’s a very reasonable way to search for red signs in historical documents.”

A vast part of these historical red aurora studies that Professor Kataoka researched came from literature explored in the last decade by the AURORA-4D collaboration. “The project title included “4D”, because we wanted to access records dating back 400 years back during the Edo period,” said Professor Kataoka.

“From the paintings, we can identify the latitude of the aurora, and calculate the magnitude or amplitude of the geomagnetic storm.” Clearly, paintings in the Edo period influenced Professor Kataoka’s line of research, for a copy of the fan-shaped red aurora painting from the manuscript Seikai (which translates to ‘stars’) hangs on the window behind his office desk at the National Institute of Polar Research.

The painting fascinated Professor Kataoka, since it depicted an aurora that originated during a super-geomagnetic storm over Kyoto in 1770. However, the painting did surprise him at first, since he wondered whether the radial patterns in the painting were real, or a mere artistic touch to make it look fierier. “That painting was special because this was the most detailed painting preserved in Japan,” remarked Professor Kataoka. “I took two years to study this, thinking this appearance was silly as an aurorae scientist. But when I calculated the field pattern from Kyoto towards the North, it was actually correct!”

Fan-shaped red aurora painting from the ‘Seikai’, dated 17th September, 1770; Picture Courtesy: Matsusaka City, Mie Prefecture.

The possibility to examine and verify historical accounts using science is also a useful incentive for scholars of Japanese literature and scientists partaking in the research.

“This is important because, if we scientists look at the real National Treasure with our eyes, we really know these sightings recorded were real,” said Professor Kataoka. “The internet is really bad for a survey because it can easily be very fake,” he said laughing. It’s not just the nature in which science was used to examine art – to examine Japanese “national treasures” that is undoubtedly appealing, but historical accounts themselves have contributed to scientific research directly.

“From our studies, we can say that the Carrington class events are more frequent than we previously expected,” said Professor Kataoka. There was a sense of pride in him as he said this. “This Carrington event is not a 1 in 200-year event, but as frequent as 1 in 100 years.” Given how electricity is the lifeblood of the 21st century, these heightened odds do ingrain a rather dystopian society in the future, that is ravaged by a super-geomagnetic storm.

Professor Kataoka’s work has found attention within the space physics community. Jonathon Eastwood, Professor of Physics at Imperial College London said to EdPublica, “The idea to use historical information and art like this is very inventive because these events are so rare and so don’t exist as information in the standard scientific record.”

There’s no physical harm from a geomagnetic storm, but the threat to global power supply and electronics is being increasingly recognized by world governments. The UK, for instance, identified “space weather” as a natural hazard in its 2011 National Risk Register. In the years that followed, the government set up a space weather division in the Met Office, the UK’s foremost weather forecasting authority, to monitor and track occurrences of these coronal mass ejections. However, these forecasts, which often supplement American predictions – namely the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) – have failed to specify previously where a magnetic storm could brew on Earth, or predict whether a coronal mass ejection would ever actually strike the Earth.

The former occurred during the evacuation process for Hurricane Irma in 2017, when amateur radio ham operators experienced the effects of a radio blackout when a magnetic storm affected the communications network across the Caribbean. The latter occurred on another occasion when a rocket launch for SpaceX’s Starlink communication satellites was disrupted by a mild geomagnetic storm, costing SpaceX a loss of over $40 million.

Professor Kataoka said he wishes space physicists from other countries participate in similar interdisciplinary collaborations to explore their native culture’s historical records for red aurora sightings. He said the greatest limitation of the AURORA-4D collaboration was the lack of historical records from other parts of the world. China apparently boasts a history of aurora records longer than Japan, with a history lasting before Christ himself. “Being Japanese, I’m not familiar with British, Finnish or Vietnamese cultures,” said Professor Kataoka. “But every country has literature researchers and scientists who can easily collaborate and perform interdisciplinary research.” And by doing so, it’s not just science which benefits from it, but so is ancient art whose beauty and relevance gains longevity.

Karthik Vinod is a freelance science writer and journalist from Kochi, India. He runs EdPublica as co-founder and science editor.

Space & Physics

MIT Engineers Develop Energy-Efficient Hopping Robot for Disaster Search Missions

The hopping mechanism allows the robot to jump nearly 20 centimeters—four times its height—at speeds up to 30 centimeters per second

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Credit: Melanie Gonick, MIT

MIT researchers have unveiled an insect-scale robot capable of hopping across treacherous terrain—offering a new mobility solution for disaster response scenarios like collapsed buildings after earthquakes.

Unlike traditional crawling robots that struggle with tall obstacles or aerial robots that quickly drain power, this thumb-sized machine combines both approaches. By using a spring-loaded leg and four flapping-wing modules, the robot can leap over debris and uneven ground while using 60 percent less energy than a flying robot.

“Being able to put batteries, circuits, and sensors on board has become much more feasible with a hopping robot than a flying one. Our hope is that one day this robot could go out of the lab and be useful in real-world scenarios,” says Yi-Hsuan (Nemo) Hsiao, an MIT graduate student and co-lead author of a new paper published today in Science Advances.

The hopping mechanism allows the robot to jump nearly 20 centimeters—four times its height—at speeds up to 30 centimeters per second. It easily navigates ice, wet surfaces, and even dynamic environments, including hopping onto a hovering drone without damage.

Co-led by researchers from MIT and the City University of Hong Kong, the team engineered the robot with an elastic compression-spring leg and soft actuator-powered wings. These wings not only stabilize the robot mid-air but also compensate for any energy lost during impact with the ground.

“If you have an ideal spring, your robot can just hop along without losing any energy. But since our spring is not quite ideal, we use the flapping modules to compensate for the small amount of energy it loses when it makes contact with the ground,” Hsiao explains.

Its robust control system determines orientation and takeoff velocity based on real-time sensing data. The robot’s agility and light weight allow it to survive harsh impacts and perform acrobatic flips.

“We have been using the same robot for this entire series of experiments, and we never needed to stop and fix it,” Hsiao adds.

The robot has already shown promise on various surfaces—grass, ice, soil, wet glass—and can adapt its jump depending on the terrain. According to Hsiao, “The robot doesn’t really care about the angle of the surface it is landing on. As long as it doesn’t slip when it strikes the ground, it will be fine.”

Future developments aim to enhance autonomy by equipping the robot with onboard batteries and sensors, potentially enabling it to assist in search-and-rescue missions beyond the lab.

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Space & Physics

Sunita Williams aged less in space due to time dilation

Astronauts Sunita Williams and Butch Wilmore returned from the ISS last month, younger than we did in the past ten months – thanks to strange physics that we typically encounter daily.

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Photographed shortly after splashdown. Butch Wilmore (left) and Sunita Williams (right) with Alexandr Gorbunov and Nick Hague (middle) in their SpaceX Dragon capsule | Credit: NASA/Keegan Barber

On March 18th, astronauts Sunita Williams and Butch Wilmore returned from the International Space Station (ISS) after their unscheduled nine-month stay in orbit. There has been much concern expressed around Williams and Wilmore’s health, having survived the harsh conditions of outer space. Yet if anything, the duo came out younger than we did in the interim period – thanks to strange physics that we typically don’t encounter daily.

Williams and Wilmore lived in a weak gravitational environment throughout their stay up in space; at the least compared to everyone else on earth. At that altitude 450 km above the surface, Einstein’s theory of relativity came to play – slowing down time for the astronauts.

When clocks run slow

In Einstein’s general theory of relativity, gravity is better explained as the distortive effect in an abstract continuum called space-time. This is quite distinct from Newton’s explanation of gravity, of invisible attractive forces emanating from masses themselves. In relativity, matter and energy twist both space as well as time. Imagine a thin fabric of material. Mass and energy are akin to heavy objects producing depressions in them.

Although we don’t encounter relativistic effects in our everyday encounters in life, their effects are subtle but measurable. The difference in gravity’s strength here produced a noticeable time dilation. Stronger the gravity, the slower does time flow for that person. This means people on earth aged slightly more with respect to the astronauts. This should mean that astronauts spending time up in space should have aged faster due to gravitational time dilation alone.

Except, there is yet another source of time dilation that contributes to aging – and that is, velocity. The ISS zips through low-earth orbit at speeds clocking nearly 28,800 km/h – or 8 km/s. That’s faster than a typical intercontinental ballistic missile when it’s mid-way in its journey. Space-time can distort tangibly when an object possesses incredible energy – and not just gravity. Time dilation from the ISS hurtling at such tremendous speeds, outsized the effect from earth’s gravity. And the resultant time flow would be slower than usual.

In effect, the duo aged slower, by approximately 0.0075 seconds. Virtually, there is no difference as you might notice. But with a good atomic clock though, time dilation can be demonstrated as a subtle, yet measurable effect. In fact, engineers have exploited the effect to solve technical problems arising with global positioning system (GPS) satellites, to coordinate and ensure positional accuracy. The high-precision atomic clocks on-board GPS satellites help software correct for latency errors, accounting for time dilation as well.

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Space & Physics

Could dark energy be a trick played by time?

David Wiltshire, a cosmologist at New Zealand’s University of Canterbury, proposed an alternate model that gets rid of dark energy entirely. But in doing so, it sacrifices an assumption cosmologists had held sacred for decades.

Karthik Vinod

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Credit: Jon Tyson / Unsplash

In 1924, American astronomer Edwin Hubble discovered that our universe expands in all directions. Powering this expansion was a Big Bang, an event that marked the birth of our current universe some 13.7 billion years ago. Back then, the finding came as a jolt to the astronomy community and the whole world. In 1998, there was even further shake-up when observations of type 1A supernovae from distant galaxies indicated the universe was expanding – at an accelerated rate. But the source of its driving force have remained in the dark.

Dark energy was born from efforts to explain the accelerated expansion. It remains a placeholder name for an undetected energy density contribution that offers a repulsive effect counterbalancing gravity’s attractive nature at long distances. Consensus emerged in support of this dark energy model thereafter. In 2011, astronomers behind the type 1A supernovae study went on to share the Nobel Prize in Physics.

More than two decades later, we are none the wiser to uncover what dark energy is. However, cosmologists have deemed it to be a constant of nature, one that does not evolve with time. So was the surprise when preliminary findings from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) survey indicated dark energy was not just variable, but also weakening over time. The Lambda-Cold Dark Matter, more technically known as the standard model, has never stood on shakier grounds.

Fine-tuned to a Big Crunch ending

In cosmological models, the Greek letter “Lambda” fits as a placeholder for dark energy. It depicts a major chunk – some 70% of the universe’s energy density. But this figure holds only if it is a true cosmological constant. If dark energy is variable, then inevitable we end up fine-tuning the universe’s fate. A constant dark energy would yield a universe expanding forever.

But going by DESI’s preliminary findings, if dark energy is weakening over time, the the universe is set to collapse on itself in the far future. This is the Big Crunch hypothesis. It was amidst the caucus surrounding DESI’s latest findings, the cosmology community took interest in a paper published in the December edition of the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society.

In 2007, David Wiltshire, a cosmologist at New Zealand’s University of Canterbury, and the paper’s co-author, had proposed an alternate model called timescape cosmology, to get rid of dark energy entirely. It requires a sacrifice over an assumption cosmologists have held so sacred in their models. Known as cosmological principle, it shares much in common with Aristotle and Ptolemy’s outdated viewpoint that the earth was at the center of the solar system.

A special place in the universe

The cosmological principle assumes matter in the universe is distributed uniformly everywhere on average, and in every direction that we look around. But cosmologists propose to adopt a pragmatic approach like the Polish Prussian astronomer, Nicholas Copernicus, had proposed in the 16th century. In the Copernican model of the solar system, the earth bore no special location in it. Likewise, timescape cosmology requires earth to not occupy a special location.

Saying that, the cosmological principle has a certain appeal among cosmologists. Theoretical calculations would appear complex to manipulate discarding uniformity. At the same time, cosmologists do contend that something has to give way, in light of astronomical observations that contend the cosmological principle is indeed outright wrong.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Galaxy_superclusters_and_galaxy_voids-png.avif
An artistic illustration of all the major galaxy superclusters. Encircled regions indicate voids, barren of matter. Credit: Wikimedia

Inhabiting a time bubble

One of the hallmark phenomena in Einstein’s general theory of relativity is gravitational time dilation. Time passes slower under a gravitational field. Bizarre as though it may seem to be, experiments have proven this subtle, but measurable effect.

In 1959, two Harvard physicists Robert Pound and Glen Rebka Jr. used a pair of atomic clocks to demonstrate this effect – also known as gravitational time dilation. Two clocks were stationed in their office building – one atop the roof, and the other closer to earth. The clock stationed closer to earth, lagged in comparison to the one atop the roof. Here, time dilation occurs in response to earth’s gravity tugging weakly at the clock atop, compared to the one below.

The universe looks clumpier in certain directions at cosmic scales than others. Galaxies bind together under gravity to form strands like that of a vast, interconnected cosmic web. Voids of cosmic proportions occupy the space in between. These voids experience a faster time flow, since they’re subject to weaker gravity from the surrounding galaxies. But observers in these galaxies have a skewed perception of time, since they’re living embedded inside a bubble of strong gravity. Events outside their time bubble play out akin to a fast-forwarded YouTube video.

Not the end of dark energy

Distant galaxies appears to recede accelerated in the reference frame of our time bubble. That appearance is a mere temporal illusion; an effect David Wiltshire says we falsely assume to be dark energy. So far, timescape cosmology has only occupied a niche interest in cosmology circles. There is far too little evidence to support a claim that dark energy affects arise truly from us inhabiting a time bubble.

Cosmologists had taken to social media to critique Wiltshire’s use of type 1A supernovae datasets used in his analysis. Saying that, none of the critiques themselves are conclusive. As observations pile up in the future, there may come a definitive closure. Until then it’s a waiting game for more data and refined analysis. Meanwhile on the contrary, it is too early to abdicate dark energy as a concept altogether. Lambda-CDM model would be the first to undergo a major rehaul, should DESI’s preliminary findings hold in successive observational runs. Until then, we can only speculate the universe’s fate.

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