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Need of the Hour – Evade the Kessler Syndrome

In 1978, Donald J. Kessler, an astrophysicist, predicted collisions between satellites can get out of hand as their population keeps increasing.

Karthik Vinod

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Illustration of space debris and defunct launcher stages in the Geostationary Orbit (GSO). Credit: ESA

In 2009, the Iridium 33 and Kosmos 2251 satellites collided to produce as many as 2,000 debris fragments, spraying 10 cm wide pieces in every direction – at speeds faster than a bullet

If any of these ever struck the ISS, orbiting closely, then all hell can break loose! Remember that scene in Gravity (2013) when Sandra Bullock’s character gets flung around? Well, it’s just one of several worse-case scenarios.

Even today, these space debris hover there, too close to be completely risk-free to the ISS. 

The US’ operate a Space Surveillance Network that tracks these debris, along with more than 20,000 fragments. They comprise old rocket booster stages, junk satellites, missile components from anti-satellite launches. 

However, very tiny pieces of fragments (<10 cm) can still be missed by ground radars. Space debris can include spent rocket stages, or defunct satellites drifting in space.

And a technical fix in orbital debris removing technology arose. 

Last month February 18th saw the launch of the Active Debris Removal by Astroscale-Japan (or ADRAS-J) satellite from Rocket Lab’s launch station in New Zealand. ADRAS-J is yet to actually demonstrate debris removal, as it’s parked in a rendezvous orbit in preparation for the demonstration later this month.

In 2022, the UK stated Active Debris Removal (ADR) as being vital to their Plan for Space Sustainability to “become tomorrow’s norms in space operation”. 

Space agencies across the world now issue commands for ‘collision avoidance maneuvers’ (CAM) when satellites cross within a certain radius. 

In fact, the Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) actually made public a trend showing the number of CAM commands issued rising every year. Such close-calls will only increase with the cumulative increase of satellites in orbit. 

Here’s a plot from the European Space Agency’s (ESA) 2022 Space Environment Report.

A plot of the number of space debris against time. The legend indicates the various types of space debris (rocket, satellite parts etc.). Credit: ESA 

But the problem is that – these satellite numbers are rising exponentially in such a short time – with mega-constellations entering center stage.

SpaceX launched the Starlink initiative, to demonstrate connectivity even in the remotest parts of the world. 

However, they alone have 5,504 satellites out there to date, all at low-earth orbit – under 600 km, which is quite where the crowd of satellites are now. That’s about 58% of the 9,414 operational satellites out there. And this happened metaphorically overnight – in the past few years. SpaceX plans to operate some 42,000 satellites in a decade.

The fear is that unregulated growth of satellites – or even satellite litter that are defunct – can make what is known as the Kessler syndrome, a reality. 

When Donald Kessler anticipated a chain reaction …

In 1978, Donald J. Kessler, an astrophysicist, predicted that collisions between satellites can trigger a domino effect of other satellite collisions above a certain threshold. Dubbed the Kessler syndrome, it’s a worst-case scenario possible in outer space, when earth’s orbit becomes impossible to thrive in or operate from.

To partly address the growing clutter of low-earth orbit satellites, the US’ Federal Communications Council (FCC) has put up legislation to have newly launched satellites deorbit 5 years after operations.

The irony is that the Kessler syndrome was foreseeable, except it was ignored by policymakers until they simply couldn’t.

Scientists building a satellite at RAL Space. Credit: UK STFC / Wikimedia

Western countries have taken some onus of responsibility into these space sustainability initiatives, simply because countries like the US own most of the satellite infrastructure operating in orbit.  

From space shuttles, rockets, space planes and the lunar lander that brought Neil Armstrong and Edwin Aldrin to the moon, the Space Age heralded a brand new era for space technologies and research. But no space technology probably had more societal impact than the satellite. 

Seen vital for development and infrastructure, satellites are now ubiquitous, manufactured not just by space agencies, but also by engineering labs in universities, private companies and start-ups across the world. 

However, our costly endeavor to improve human lives are breeding new problems. And as a last resort, engineers are at it again to come up with technical fixes. 

But weren’t the technical risks understood if Kessler expressed his concern in the 1970s? 

Satellites, just like any technology, come with its set of benefits and risks. The benefits of satellites are obvious to many – phone connections, weather forecasting, banking, studying climate change, and the list goes on. 

At the end of a satellite’s lifespan though, many just stay there, as defunct satellites. 

Sure, there’s a ‘graveyard’ orbit where satellites can be made defunct after pushing them to a higher orbit to lay to rest forever. But not every defunct satellite is. In fact, 60% of all satellites are defunct. The operational satellites constitute a tiny minority. 

Partly to do with this mess is a lack of priority. The Space Race played out during the peak of the Cold War when both the US and Soviets wanted to demonstrate technological superiority. 

However, the outer orbit isn’t just a matter of mediating traffic or cleaning debris either. 

Space militarization has raised fears. Much of the initial Space Race began with the US and Soviets fearing the other could surveil over their national boundaries. But the tensions have now made headlines, with the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, with the US alleging that the Russians are developing a satellite that can drop nuclear weapons against the West. Building such a weapon would be violative of the 1967 Outer Space Treaty, in addition to several other regulations against weapons of mass destruction (WMDs).

There’s also anti-satellite launch systems firing repurposed ballistic missiles into space missiles. The US, Russia, China and India all possess this technology – and have the capacity to threaten orbital infrastructure – civilian or military. But the consequence of losing control over the weapons, is to hit the threshold dictated by the Kessler syndrome.

We’ll need to bear in mind that even technical fixes can’t fix design thinking. When planners aren’t held accountable, for their individual decisions – such avoidable doomsday disasters become a talking point.

Karthik is a science writer, and co-founder of Ed Publica. He writes and edits the science page. He's also a freelance journalist, with words in The Hindu, a prominent national newspaper in India.

Space & Physics

Study Shows Single Qubit Can Outperform Classical Computers in Real-World Communication Tasks

This new research, however, offers compelling evidence of quantum systems’ power in a real-world scenario

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Image credit: Gerd Altmann /Pixabay

Breakthrough Study Shows Quantum Systems Can Outperform Classical Computers in Real-World Communication Tasks

A new study from the S. N. Bose National Centre for Basic Sciences in West Bengal, India, in collaboration with international teams has revealed that even the simplest quantum system, a single qubit, can surpass its classical counterpart in certain communication tasks. This discovery reshapes our understanding of quantum computing and hints at a future where quantum technologies could solve problems that classical computers, even with ample resources, cannot.

Quantum systems have long been seen as the next frontier in computing, with the potential to revolutionize technology. However, proving their superiority over classical systems has been a challenge, as experiments are complex, and limitations often arise that suggest quantum advantage might not be as accessible as once thought. This new research, however, offers compelling evidence of quantum systems’ power in a real-world scenario.

Professor Manik Banik and his team at the S. N. Bose Centre, alongside researchers from the Henan Key Laboratory of Quantum Information and Cryptography, Laboratoire d’Information Quantique, University libre de Bruxelles, and ICFO—the Barcelona Institute of Science and Technology, have demonstrated that a single qubit can outperform a classical bit in a communication task, even when no extra resources, like shared randomness, are available. The theoretical study, published in Quantum, was accompanied by an experimental demonstration featured as an Editors’ Suggestion in Physical Review Letters.

The team’s innovative approach involved developing a photonic quantum processor and a novel tool called a variational triangular polarimeter

The key to this breakthrough lies in the way quantum and classical systems handle communication. Classical communication often relies on shared resources, such as pre-agreed random numbers, to function efficiently. Without these shared resources, the task becomes more challenging. In contrast, the researchers found that a qubit does not require such help and can still outperform a classical bit under the same conditions.

The team’s innovative approach involved developing a photonic quantum processor and a novel tool called a variational triangular polarimeter. This device enabled them to measure light polarization with high precision using a technique known as Positive Operator-Valued Measurements (POVM). These measurements play a crucial role in understanding the behavior of quantum systems, particularly under realistic conditions that include noise.

Credit: PIB

“This result is particularly exciting because it demonstrates a tangible quantum advantage in a realistic communication scenario,” said Professor Banik. “For a long time, quantum advantage was mostly theoretical. Now, we’ve shown that even a single qubit can outperform classical systems, opening up new possibilities for quantum communication and computing.”

Credit: PIB

This research represents more than just an academic milestone; it brings us a step closer to a future where quantum technologies could drastically alter how we process and communicate information. As quantum systems continue to develop, this breakthrough makes the divide between quantum and classical computing not only more fascinating but also more attainable. The study also signals that quantum systems may eventually be able to solve problems that classical computers struggle with, even when resources are limited.

With this discovery, the potential for quantum communication and computation is moving from theoretical to practical applications, making the future of quantum technologies look even more promising.

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IIT Kanpur Unveils World’s First BCI-Based Robotic Hand Exoskeleton for Stroke Rehabilitation

The BCI-based robotic hand exoskeleton utilizes a unique closed-loop control system to actively engage the patient’s brain during therapy

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Image credit: By Special arrangement

The Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur (IITK) has unveiled the world’s first Brain-Computer Interface (BCI)-based Robotic Hand Exoskeleton, a groundbreaking innovation set to revolutionize stroke rehabilitation. This technology promises to accelerate recovery and improve patient outcomes by redefining post-stroke therapy. Developed over 15 years of rigorous research led by Prof. Ashish Dutta from IIT Kanpur’s Department of Mechanical Engineering, the project was supported by India’s Department of Science and Technology (DST), UK India Education and Research Initiative (UKIERI), and the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR).

The BCI-based robotic hand exoskeleton utilizes a unique closed-loop control system to actively engage the patient’s brain during therapy. It integrates three key components: a Brain-Computer Interface that captures EEG signals from the motor cortex to detect the patient’s intent to move, a robotic hand exoskeleton that assists with therapeutic hand movements, and software that synchronizes brain signals with the exoskeleton for real-time feedback. This coordination helps foster continuous brain engagement, leading to faster and more effective recovery.

“Stroke recovery is a long and often uncertain process. Our device bridges the gap between physical therapy, brain engagement, and visual feedback creating a closed-loop control system that activates brain plasticity, which is the brain’s ability to change its structure and function in response to stimuli,” said Prof. Ashish Dutta. “This is especially significant for patients whose recovery has plateaued, as it offers renewed hope for further improvement and regaining mobility. With promising results in both India and the UK, we are optimistic that this device will make a significant impact in the field of neurorehabilitation.”

Traditional stroke recovery often faces challenges, especially when motor impairments stem from damage to the motor cortex. Conventional physiotherapy methods may fall short due to limited brain involvement. The new device addresses this gap by linking brain activity with physical movement. During therapy, patients are guided on-screen to perform hand movements, such as opening or closing their fist, while EEG signals from the brain and EMG signals from the muscles are used to activate the robotic exoskeleton in an assist-as-required mode. This synchronization ensures the brain, muscles, and visual engagement work together, improving recovery outcomes.

Pilot clinical trials, conducted in collaboration with Regency Hospital in India and the University of Ulster in the UK, have yielded impressive results. Remarkably, eight patients—four in India and four in the UK—who had reached a recovery plateau one or two years post-stroke achieved full recovery through the BCI-based robotic therapy. The device’s active engagement of the brain during therapy has proven to lead to faster and more comprehensive recovery compared to traditional physiotherapy.

While stroke recovery is typically most effective within the first six to twelve months, this innovative device has demonstrated its ability to facilitate recovery even beyond this critical period. With large-scale clinical trials underway at Apollo Hospitals in India, the device is expected to be commercially available within three to five years, offering new hope for stroke patients worldwide.

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Obituary: R. Chidambaram, Eminent Physicist and Architect of India’s Nuclear Program

Rajagopala Chidambaram (1936–2025), a man whose work shaped the future of modern India, will always be remembered as the chief architect of India’s nuclear journey.

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Rajagopala Chidambaram, a world-class physicist and the chief architect of India’s nuclear program, passed away on January 4, 2025, at the age of 88. Renowned for his unparalleled contributions to India’s nuclear defense and energy security, Chidambaram leaves a profound legacy in both the scientific community and the nation’s strategic defense apparatus.

Born on November 11, 1936, in India, Dr. Chidambaram was an alumnus of Presidency College, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, and the Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, Karnataka. His academic background, coupled with his innate curiosity and vision, led him to become one of India’s foremost scientific minds. Throughout his illustrious career, Dr. Chidambaram played an instrumental role in shaping India’s nuclear capabilities, overseeing both the Pokhran-I (1974) and Pokhran-II (1998) nuclear tests, which cemented India’s position as a nuclear power on the world stage.

As a physicist, Dr. Chidambaram’s groundbreaking research in high-pressure physics, crystallography, and materials science greatly advanced the understanding of these fields. His pioneering work laid the foundation for modern materials science research in India, contributing to the nation’s scientific progress in multiple areas. His expertise in these complex disciplines not only bolstered India’s nuclear research but also advanced its technological prowess.

In addition to his work in nuclear weapons development, Dr. Chidambaram made significant strides in nuclear energy, ensuring that India remained at the forefront of scientific and technological advancements. As Director of the Bhabha Atomic Research Centre (BARC) and later as Chairman of the Atomic Energy Commission of India, he was integral to India’s peaceful nuclear energy initiatives. As Principal Scientific Adviser to the Government of India, Dr. Chidambaram guided national policies on defense, energy, and nuclear research, shaping the future of India’s scientific endeavors.

He was a vital member of the team that conducted India’s first nuclear test, Smiling Buddha, at Pokhran in 1974. His leadership during the Pokhran-II tests in 1998, which confirmed India’s nuclear deterrent, was a defining moment in the nation’s history. Chidambaram’s steadfast commitment to India’s defense and scientific advancement earned him respect both at home and abroad.

Rajagopala Chidambaram captured during the session ‘Innovative India’ at the Annual Meeting 2008 of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Copyright by World Economic Forum/Photo by Monika Flueckiger

A visionary leader, Dr. Chidambaram believed in the power of science and technology to drive national development. His efforts were instrumental in championing key initiatives in energy, healthcare, and strategic self-reliance. He steered numerous projects that significantly advanced India’s science and technology landscape. Notably, he played a central role in the indigenous development of supercomputers and was the driving force behind the conceptualization of the National Knowledge Network, which connected research and educational institutions across India.

Dr. Chidambaram was also an ardent advocate for the application of science and technology to improve societal conditions. He established the Rural Technology Action Groups and the Society for Electronic Transactions and Security, among other programs. His emphasis on “Coherent Synergy” in India’s scientific efforts helped foster collaboration across various disciplines, accelerating the country’s scientific growth.

On the global stage, Dr. Chidambaram served as the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in 1994-1995 and contributed to several high-level international nuclear discussions. His expertise was sought worldwide, and in 2008, he was appointed to the Commission of Eminent Persons by the IAEA to assess the agency’s role in nuclear governance.

He was a vital member of the team that conducted India’s first nuclear test, Smiling Buddha, at Pokhran in 1974

In recognition of his exceptional contributions to science and national development, Dr. Chidambaram received several prestigious accolades, including the Padma Shri in 1975 and the Padma Vibhushan in 1999. He was also awarded honorary doctorates from several universities and was a fellow of several eminent Indian and international scientific academies.

Dr. Chidambaram’s passing marks the end of an era for India’s nuclear program and the global scientific community. His legacy as a scientist, visionary leader, and architect of India’s nuclear journey will continue to inspire future generations. His contributions to national security, energy, and technological innovation have left an indelible mark on India’s scientific and strategic landscape.

Rajagopala Chidambaram’s profound impact on India’s nuclear and scientific trajectory will be remembered for generations to come. His work in advancing both national defense and the peaceful use of nuclear energy stands as a testament to his vision of a self-reliant, scientifically empowered India.

“Deeply saddened by the demise of Dr Rajagopala Chidambaram. He was one of the key architects of India’s nuclear programme and made ground-breaking contributions in strengthening India’s scientific and strategic capabilities. He will be remembered with gratitude by the whole nation and his efforts will inspire generations to come,” Prime Minister Narendra Modi wrote on X.

Dr. Ajit Kumar Mohanty, Secretary, Department of Atomic Energy, in a statement issued, said,  “Dr. Chidambaram was a doyen of science and technology whose contributions furthered India’s nuclear prowess and strategic self-reliance. His loss is an irreparable one for the scientific community and the nation.”

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